Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Armagh vs Ballyclare

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Davidson M.
40' Event
Doyle B.
57' Event
Rutkowski I.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2024/2025 game between Armagh and Ballyclare finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ballyclare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Armagh
20%
Draws
0%
Ballyclare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Armagh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ballyclare carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Armagh's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Armagh Clean Sheet 12%
Ballyclare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armagh Ballyclare
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 2 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 0.61 1.34
Goals Conceded 3.06 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2025 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Ballyclare
1:3
Feb 8, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballyclare vs Armagh
0:3
Dec 7, 2024 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Ballyclare
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 NIFL Championship
Ballyclare vs Armagh
1:1
Feb 11, 2017 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Ballyclare
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armagh Compare

Top Goalscorer Rutkowski I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

Ballyclare Compare

Top Goalscorer Davidson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doyle B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armagh 83 / 100
Ballyclare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armagh Ballyclare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Armagh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballyclare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Ballyclare registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Armagh scored in 45% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Armagh VS Ballyclare
0.38 Goals Scored 0.6
2.88 Goals Conceded 4.2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Armagh

(Home)
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2
Glenavon
15 Aug
Harland & Wolff
1 : 0
Armagh
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0
Armagh
08 Aug
Armagh
1 : 1
Queens University
10 Jul
Armagh
0 : 1
Cliftonville
Page 1 of 7

Ballyclare

(Away)
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8
Carrick Rangers
28 Jul
Queens University
4 : 1
Ballyclare
18 Jul
Ballyclare
1 : 4
Loughgall
11 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 2
Ballymena
04 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 3
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Institute 38 13 12 13 62:63 51
8 Ballinamallard 38 13 5 20 55:62 44
9 Armagh 38 10 12 16 62:78 42
10 Newington FC 38 11 9 18 51:74 42
11 Ballyclare 38 11 7 20 52:85 40
12 Newry City 38 7 10 21 46:78 31
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2024/2025 (Relegation)