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Stadium Background

Armagh vs Glenavon

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Armagh
35%
Draws
47%
Glenavon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Glenavon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Glenavon lately — more wins on the board than Armagh.
  • Glenavon are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armagh Glenavon
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 0 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.57 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.18 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Glenavon
2:2
Nov 5, 2024 Irish League Cup
Armagh vs Glenavon
1:0
Feb 4, 2017 Irish Cup
Armagh vs Glenavon
0:2
Apr 26, 2008 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Armagh
5:0
Dec 29, 2007 NIFL Premiership
Armagh vs Glenavon
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armagh 26 / 100
Glenavon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armagh Glenavon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glenavon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glenavon let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Armagh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Armagh found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Armagh VS Glenavon
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Armagh

(Home)
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0
Armagh
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2
Glenavon
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Glenavon

(Away)
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
28 Aug
Glenavon
3 : 1
Rathfriland Rangers
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2
Glenavon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Glenavon 9 5 2 2 22:13 17
2 Newington FC 8 5 2 1 20:11 17
3 Annagh 8 5 2 1 18:12 17
4 Queens University 8 5 1 2 18:6 16
5 Harland & Wolff 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
6 Newry City 9 4 3 2 15:16 15
7 Ballinamallard 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
8 Warrenpoint 9 4 1 4 17:14 13
9 Institute 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
10 Ards 8 3 2 3 11:11 11
11 Loughgall 9 2 4 3 12:18 10
12 Dundela 8 1 5 2 16:18 8
13 Moyola 8 2 2 4 9:17 8
14 Strabane Athletic 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Armagh 8 0 4 4 8:14 4
16 Rathfriland Rangers 9 1 0 8 6:21 3
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)