Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Armagh vs Newry City

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2024/2025
Armagh Logo

Armagh

4 - 1
FT
Newry City Logo

Newry City

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Rutkowski I.
(Penalty)
17'
Poynton G.
56' Event
Doona J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Armagh in this NIFL Championship 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Armagh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Armagh
35%
Draws
43%
Newry City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newry City lately — more wins on the board than Armagh.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Armagh Clean Sheet 14%
Newry City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Armagh Newry City
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.78 1.3
Goals Conceded 3 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Armagh
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Newry City
4:1
Dec 30, 2024 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Armagh
1:1
Nov 8, 2024 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Armagh
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Newry City
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Armagh Compare

Top Goalscorer Doona J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duffy R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Newry City Compare

Top Goalscorer McNickle R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Armagh 31 / 100
Newry City 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Armagh Newry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Newry City let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Armagh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Armagh found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Armagh VS Newry City
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Armagh

(Home)
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0
Armagh
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2
Glenavon
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Newry City

(Away)
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1
Annagh
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3
Newry City
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3
Warrenpoint
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Institute 38 13 12 13 62:63 51
8 Ballinamallard 38 13 5 20 55:62 44
9 Armagh 38 10 12 16 62:78 42
10 Newington FC 38 11 9 18 51:74 42
11 Ballyclare 38 11 7 20 52:85 40
12 Newry City 38 7 10 21 46:78 31
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2024/2025 (Relegation)