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Arman Gohar vs Esteghlal Molasani

Iran Iran

Hazfi Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arman Gohar play Esteghlal Molasani in the Hazfi Cup 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arman Gohar averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Esteghlal Molasani averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Arman Gohar won 1, Esteghlal Molasani won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 27, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Arman Gohar and 1.11 for Esteghlal Molasani. This points to a Esteghlal Molasani double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Arman Gohar
33%
Draws
39%
Esteghlal Molasani
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Esteghlal Molasani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Arman Gohar picked up more points recently compared to Esteghlal Molasani.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Arman Gohar Clean Sheet 21%
Esteghlal Molasani Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arman Gohar Esteghlal Molasani
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 13
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.83 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2023 Azadegan League
Arman Gohar vs Esteghlal Molasani
2:0
Jan 11, 2023 Hazfi Cup
Arman Gohar vs Esteghlal Molasani
1:3
Sep 28, 2022 Azadegan League
Esteghlal Molasani vs Arman Gohar
1:1
Jun 7, 2022 Azadegan League
Esteghlal Molasani vs Arman Gohar
3:0
Feb 2, 2022 Azadegan League
Arman Gohar vs Esteghlal Molasani
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arman Gohar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadeghian M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Esteghlal Molasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarrah A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rabiei T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arman Gohar 29 / 100
Esteghlal Molasani 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arman Gohar Esteghlal Molasani

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Esteghlal Molasani or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +25.1%
4.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arman Gohar attacking → ← attacking Esteghlal Molasani

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arman Gohar scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Esteghlal Molasani let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Arman Gohar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Esteghlal Molasani lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 46
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88