Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arminia Bielefeld vs Bochum

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Schüco Arena, Bielefeld
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Lenz C.
27' Event
Grodowski J.
(Penalty)
37'
Sub
Wittek M. In: Morgalla L.
Out: Wittek M.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Arminia Bielefeld and Bochum finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Arminia Bielefeld
20%
Draws
57%
Bochum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bochum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Arminia Bielefeld's 2.24 goals per match outpaces what Bochum have produced (1.24).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 19%
Bochum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arminia Bielefeld Bochum
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.24 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Bochum
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld
1:0
Aug 12, 2023 DFB Pokal
Arminia Bielefeld vs Bochum
3:2
May 6, 2022 Bundesliga
Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld
2:1
Dec 14, 2021 Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Bochum
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arminia Bielefeld Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bochum Compare

Top Goalscorer Kwarteng M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arminia Bielefeld 32 / 100
Bochum 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arminia Bielefeld Bochum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bochum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arminia Bielefeld found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Bochum has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Arminia Bielefeld went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arminia Bielefeld VS Bochum
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arminia Bielefeld

(Home)
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
22 Aug
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
3 : 2
Arminia Bielefeld
16 Aug
Arminia Bielefeld
3 : 0
Energie Cottbus
Page 1 of 6

Bochum

(Away)
12 Sept
Bochum
1 : 1
Greuther Furth
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Bochum
28 Aug
Bochum
0 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
23 Aug
Greuther Furth
1 : 2
Bochum
14 Aug
Braunschweig
0 : 1
Bochum
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schalke 34 21 7 6 50:31 70
2 Elversberg 34 18 8 8 64:39 62
3 Paderborn 34 18 8 8 59:45 62
4 Hannover 34 16 12 6 60:44 60
5 Darmstadt 34 13 13 8 57:45 52
6 Kaiserslautern 34 16 4 14 52:47 52
7 Hertha Berlin 34 14 9 11 47:44 51
8 Nurnberg 34 12 10 12 47:45 46
9 Bochum 34 11 11 12 49:47 44
10 Karlsruher 34 12 8 14 53:64 44
11 Dresden 34 11 8 15 54:53 41
12 Holstein Kiel 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld 34 10 9 15 53:51 39
14 Magdeburg 34 12 3 19 52:58 39
15 Braunschweig 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
16 Greuther Furth 34 10 7 17 49:68 37
17 Dusseldorf 34 11 4 19 33:53 37
18 Preussen Munster 34 6 12 16 38:61 30
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)