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Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Schüco Arena, Bielefeld
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Grodowski J.
Assist: Koudossou H.
27'
Rorig H.
37' Event
Grodowski J.

AI Match Summary

Arminia Bielefeld in this 2. Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arminia Bielefeld.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Arminia Bielefeld
35%
Draws
43%
Energie Cottbus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Energie Cottbus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Arminia Bielefeld at 2.36 per game, Energie Cottbus at 1.75.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 10%
Energie Cottbus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arminia Bielefeld Energie Cottbus
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.36 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus
3:0
Jan 18, 2025 3. Liga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus
0:2
Aug 4, 2024 3. Liga
Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld
1:2
Apr 4, 2015 3. Liga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus
3:0
Sep 28, 2014 3. Liga
Energie Cottbus vs Arminia Bielefeld
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arminia Bielefeld Compare

Top Goalscorer Grodowski J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Energie Cottbus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arminia Bielefeld 30 / 100
Energie Cottbus 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arminia Bielefeld Energie Cottbus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arminia Bielefeld scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Energie Cottbus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Arminia Bielefeld remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arminia Bielefeld VS Energie Cottbus
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arminia Bielefeld

(Home)
03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
RW Essen
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
Heidenheim
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
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Energie Cottbus

(Away)
10 Oct
Darmstadt
3 : 1
Energie Cottbus
03 Oct
Lech Poznan
2 : 2
Energie Cottbus
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
St. Pauli
13 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 3
Energie Cottbus
05 Sept
Wolfsburg
4 : 4
Energie Cottbus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 7 5 2 0 20:10 17
3 Heidenheim 7 4 2 1 14:12 14
4 Magdeburg 7 4 1 2 14:9 13
5 Wolfsburg 7 3 3 1 19:12 12
6 Kaiserslautern 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
7 Energie Cottbus 7 2 2 3 15:16 8
8 VfL Osnabruck 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
9 Braunschweig 7 2 1 4 13:13 7
10 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
11 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
12 Hannover 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
13 Darmstadt 7 2 1 4 8:14 7
14 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
15 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
16 Dresden 7 1 2 4 9:15 5
17 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
18 Holstein Kiel 7 0 4 3 7:11 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)