Sport Picks

Army Red vs Baghpat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India

Durand Cup

Army Red

4 - 0

Baghpat

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Murmu S.

22'

Borish Singh S.

35'

Rana S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%

Army Red

15%

Draws

17%

Baghpat

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Army Red

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Army Red lately — more wins on the board than Baghpat.
Army Red are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Army Red have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Army Red, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%

Army Red Clean Sheet 13%

Baghpat Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Army Red	Baghpat
Matches Played	29	12
Wins	15	6
Draws	5	2
Losses	9	4
Goals Scored	1.48	2
Goals Conceded	1.34	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Durand Cup

Army Red vs Baghpat

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Army Red Compare

Top Goalscorer Murmu S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Borish Singh S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Baghpat Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Army Red 84 / 100

Baghpat 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Army Red Baghpat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Army Red Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Army Red's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Baghpat conceded in 67% of 12 recent games.

Army Red went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Army Red VS Baghpat

1.63 Goals Scored 2.88

0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

38% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Army Red

(Home)

16 Aug

Army Red

0 : 1

East Bengal

12 Aug

Mohammedan

1 : 2

Army Red

05 Aug

Army Red

4 : 0

Baghpat

26 Jul

Army Red

1 : 0

Samaleswari SC

11 Aug

Army Red

4 : 2

1 Ladakh

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Baghpat

(Away)

05 Aug

Army Red

4 : 0

Baghpat

30 Jul

Samaleswari SC

4 : 1

Baghpat

27 Jul

Mohammedan

4 : 0

Baghpat

24 May

Sunrise Club

1 : 0

Baghpat

22 May

Baghpat

4 : 2

Chhaygaon

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