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Army Red vs Samaleswari SC Prediction & H2H Stats

India India

Durand Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Kamei C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Army Red
15%
Draws
36%
Samaleswari SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Army Red

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Samaleswari SC haven't matched Army Red's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Army Red a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Army Red have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Army Red, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Army Red Clean Sheet 19%
Samaleswari SC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Army Red Samaleswari SC
Matches Played 28 7
Wins 14 4
Draws 5 0
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.39 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Durand Cup
Army Red vs Samaleswari SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Army Red Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamei C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Samaleswari SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Army Red 40 / 100
Samaleswari SC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Army Red Samaleswari SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Army Red Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Samaleswari SC conceded in 86% of 7 recent games.

Army Red scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Army Red remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Army Red VS Samaleswari SC
1 Goals Scored 1.86
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.29
38% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Army Red

(Home)
16 Aug
Army Red
0 : 1
East Bengal
12 Aug
Mohammedan
1 : 2
Army Red
05 Aug
Army Red
4 : 0
Baghpat
26 Jul
Army Red
1 : 0
Samaleswari SC
11 Aug
Army Red
4 : 2
1 Ladakh
Page 1 of 6

Samaleswari SC

(Away)
02 Aug
Mohammedan
2 : 3
Samaleswari SC
30 Jul
Samaleswari SC
4 : 1
Baghpat
26 Jul
Army Red
1 : 0
Samaleswari SC
06 May
Samaleswari SC
0 : 1
TRAU FC
04 May
Mumbay FC
1 : 4
Samaleswari SC
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 3 3 0 0 15:0 9
2 East Bengal 3 2 0 1 13:1 6
3 South United 3 1 0 2 2:13 3
4 CISF Protectors 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Army Red 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Samaleswari SC 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Mohammedan 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
4 Baghpat 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Delhi 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Jamshedpur 3 2 0 1 12:2 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 1 0 2 3:14 3
4 Defenders FC 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Raengdai 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
2 TRAU FC 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 NEROCA 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Indian Navy 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lajong 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Langsning 3 1 2 0 10:5 5
3 Nongkseh 3 1 1 1 9:4 4
4 Mumbay FC 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Bodoland FC 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 FC 1 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Karbi Anglong 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)