Sport Picks
Match Events
55'
55'
Mwanza I.
68'
68'
Lopez J.
78'
78'
Martinez G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arnedo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- CCD Alberite haven't matched Arnedo's recent run of results.
- Arnedo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Arnedo have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 20%
CCD Alberite Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arnedo | CCD Alberite |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 30 |
| Wins | 26 | 3 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 3 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.36 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 2.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.67 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs CCD Alberite
2:2
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Arnedo
0:1
Jan 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Arnedo
1:2
Aug 25, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs CCD Alberite
4:0
Apr 18, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs CCD Alberite
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arnedo Compare
Top Goalscorer Mwanza I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pascual I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.33
CCD Alberite Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Martinez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arnedo 85 / 100
CCD Alberite 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arnedo CCD Alberite
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arnedo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arnedo scored in 90% of their last 39 games.
Defensive concern: CCD Alberite conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Arnedo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arnedo VS -
4.13 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arnedo
(Home) 29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2 Naxara
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0 CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0 Arnedo
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2 Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0 Arnedo
Page 1 of 8
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2 Naxara
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0 CD Tropezon
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2 Oyonesa
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0 CD Calahorra
10 May
Arnedo
1 : 0 Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 5
CCD Alberite
(Away) 04 Oct
CCD Alberite
1 : 1 Puerto de Vega
27 Sept
Puerto de Vega
4 : 0 CCD Alberite
12 May
Varea
2 : 1 CCD Alberite
05 May
CCD Alberite
1 : 3 Haro Deportivo
01 May
Alfaro
9 : 0 CCD Alberite
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Puerto de Vega
4 : 0 CCD Alberite
12 May
Varea
2 : 1 CCD Alberite
01 May
Alfaro
9 : 0 CCD Alberite
21 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 2 CCD Alberite
14 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 1 CCD Alberite
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 67:19 | 76 |
| 2 | Alfaro | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 80:36 | 76 |
| 3 | CD Calahorra B | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 70:34 | 67 |
| 4 | Anguiano | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 69:41 | 65 |
| 5 | Varea | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 59:31 | 61 |
| 6 | Oyonesa | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 46:28 | 58 |
| 7 | Casalarreina CF | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 57:49 | 55 |
| 8 | CDFC La Calzada | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:43 | 48 |
| 9 | Berceo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | 47 |
| 10 | Arnedo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:48 | 42 |
| 11 | Pena Balsamaiso | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 51:62 | 42 |
| 12 | Racing Rioja | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37:55 | 39 |
| 13 | River Ebro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Vianes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30:62 | 33 |
| 15 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 38:50 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Tedeon | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:61 | 30 |
| 17 | Comillas CF | 34 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 38:59 | 24 |
| 18 | CCD Alberite | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 37:103 | 17 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
