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Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arnett Gardens host Mount Pleasant in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Arnett Gardens at 1.71 goals for, 1.13 against; Mount Pleasant at 1.72 for, 0.77 against. Head-to-head, Arnett Gardens have won 0 to Mount Pleasant's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.43 - 1.45) back Mount Pleasant to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Arnett Gardens
20%
Draws
40%
Mount Pleasant
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Mount Pleasant carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Arnett Gardens taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Arnett Gardens Clean Sheet 16%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnett Gardens Mount Pleasant
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 13 23
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.71 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant
0:0
Mar 31, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant
1:1
Jan 29, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Arnett Gardens
1:0
Jan 23, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Mount Pleasant
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnett Gardens 57 / 100
Mount Pleasant 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnett Gardens Mount Pleasant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnett Gardens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnett Gardens found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Arnett Gardens remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Mount Pleasant has conceded goals in 53% of their last 38 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Arnett Gardens VS Mount Pleasant
1.6 Goals Scored 1.5
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.25
80% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnett Gardens

(Home)
06 Oct
Arnett Gardens
1 : 1
Portmore
27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
22 Sept
Arnett Gardens
3 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
Page 1 of 7

Mount Pleasant

(Away)
05 Oct
Mount Pleasant
1 : 1
Cavalier
27 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 2
Mount Pleasant
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1
Racing United
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
Tru-Juice FC
4 : 0
Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waterhouse 4 3 1 0 14:1 10
2 Montego Bay 4 3 1 0 4:0 10
3 Racing United 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
4 Tivoli 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Tru-Juice FC 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
6 Cavalier 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
7 Portmore 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
8 Arnett Gardens 4 1 1 2 8:7 4
9 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
10 Chapelton 4 1 1 2 3:10 4
11 Molynes United 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
12 Treasure Beach 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
13 Humble Lions 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
14 FC Dunbeholden 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)