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Arnett Gardens vs Portmore

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Cohen D.
90' Event
Russell O.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Arnett Gardens and Portmore finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portmore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Arnett Gardens
15%
Draws
42%
Portmore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnett Gardens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Portmore have managed 1.65 goals a game lately — Arnett Gardens are scoring more at 1.97.
  • Win probability leans Arnett Gardens's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Portmore have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Arnett Gardens Clean Sheet 68%
Portmore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnett Gardens Portmore
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 12
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.52 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Arnett Gardens
1:2
Feb 17, 2026 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Portmore
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Portmore vs Arnett Gardens
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Portmore vs Arnett Gardens
2:1
Feb 21, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Portmore
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnett Gardens Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.26

Portmore Compare

Top Goalscorer Cohen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Russell O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnett Gardens 95 / 100
Portmore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnett Gardens Portmore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnett Gardens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arnett Gardens's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Portmore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Arnett Gardens went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arnett Gardens VS Portmore
3.67 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnett Gardens

(Home)
27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
22 Sept
Arnett Gardens
3 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Arnett Gardens
6 : 0
Spanish Town Police
Page 1 of 7

Portmore

(Away)
27 Sept
Portmore
4 : 1
Humble Lions
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
04 Aug
Portmore
1 : 2
Salcedo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)