Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arnstadt vs Grimma

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Hertel B.
33' Event
Jackisch C.
67' Event
Oeftger H.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 game between Arnstadt and Grimma finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arnstadt
6%
Draws
90%
Grimma
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Grimma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grimma come out ahead of Arnstadt on wins alone.
  • Grimma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Arnstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Grimma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnstadt Grimma
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 4 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Grimma
2:2
Sep 16, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs Arnstadt
0:0
Jun 12, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Grimma
4:1
Nov 6, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs Arnstadt
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Hertel B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oeftger H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Grimma Compare

Top Goalscorer Jackisch C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnstadt 10 / 100
Grimma 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnstadt Grimma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grimma let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Arnstadt scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Arnstadt remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arnstadt VS Grimma
2 Goals Scored 0.75
4 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnstadt

(Home)
15 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
4 : 2
Arnstadt
09 Jul
Arnstadt
1 : 6
Einheit Rudolstadt
08 Jun
Arnstadt
0 : 6
Bischofswerdaer
02 Jun
Krieschow
3 : 1
Arnstadt
18 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 2
Arnstadt
Page 1 of 6

Grimma

(Away)
30 May
Grimma
3 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
17 May
Plauen
0 : 1
Grimma
09 May
Grimma
2 : 4
Krieschow
03 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 0
Grimma
26 Apr
Grimma
2 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bischofswerdaer30217278:3370
2Plauen30224463:1970
3Halberstadt30186671:4560
4Magdeburg II30174970:4355
5Auerbach30174964:3855
6Krieschow301441259:5246
7Sandersdorf301331449:4642
8Freital301241443:4640
9Einheit Wernigerode301061454:6736
10Bautzen30981345:5235
11Einheit Rudolstadt301041640:5334
12Grimma30951640:6332
13Ludwigsfelder30871539:5031
14Halle30861647:6230
15Motor Marienberg30642033:9322
16Arnstadt30561935:6821
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)