Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arnstadt vs Grimma

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Hertel B.
33' Event
Jackisch C.
67' Event
Oeftger H.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 game between Arnstadt and Grimma finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Arnstadt
15%
Draws
64%
Grimma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grimma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grimma come out ahead of Arnstadt on wins alone.
  • Grimma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Arnstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Grimma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnstadt Grimma
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Grimma
2:2
Sep 16, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs Arnstadt
0:0
Jun 12, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Grimma
4:1
Nov 6, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs Arnstadt
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Hertel B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oeftger H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Grimma Compare

Top Goalscorer Jackisch C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnstadt 10 / 100
Grimma 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnstadt Grimma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grimma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Grimma conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Arnstadt scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Arnstadt remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arnstadt VS Grimma
2 Goals Scored 0.75
4 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnstadt

(Home)
15 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
4 : 2
Arnstadt
09 Jul
Arnstadt
1 : 6
Einheit Rudolstadt
08 Jun
Arnstadt
0 : 6
Bischofswerdaer
02 Jun
Krieschow
3 : 1
Arnstadt
18 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 2
Arnstadt
Page 1 of 6

Grimma

(Away)
30 May
Grimma
3 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
17 May
Plauen
0 : 1
Grimma
09 May
Grimma
2 : 4
Krieschow
03 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 0
Grimma
26 Apr
Grimma
2 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)