Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arnstadt vs Krieschow

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Bednarczyk A.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 game between Arnstadt and Krieschow finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Krieschow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Arnstadt
15%
Draws
0%
Krieschow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnstadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Krieschow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Arnstadt taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Krieschow have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Arnstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Krieschow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arnstadt Krieschow
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.6 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Krieschow vs Arnstadt
3:1
Nov 25, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Krieschow
0:1
May 29, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Krieschow vs Arnstadt
2:2
Oct 16, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Krieschow
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arnstadt Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Krieschow Compare

Top Goalscorer Bednarczyk A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arnstadt 83 / 100
Krieschow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arnstadt Krieschow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnstadt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Krieschow conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Away concern: Krieschow has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Arnstadt scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Arnstadt VS Krieschow
2 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arnstadt

(Home)
15 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
4 : 2
Arnstadt
09 Jul
Arnstadt
1 : 6
Einheit Rudolstadt
08 Jun
Arnstadt
0 : 6
Bischofswerdaer
02 Jun
Krieschow
3 : 1
Arnstadt
18 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 2
Arnstadt
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Krieschow

(Away)
12 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 5
Halle
29 Aug
Halberstadt
5 : 0
Krieschow
23 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 9
Mainz
16 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 1
Meuselwitz
09 Aug
Sandersdorf
3 : 1
Krieschow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
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