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Arosa SC vs CD Boiro

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Iglesias I.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Arosa SC in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arosa SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Arosa SC
20%
Draws
40%
CD Boiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CD Boiro haven't matched Arosa SC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 16%
CD Boiro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arosa SC CD Boiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.47
Goals Conceded 1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs CD Boiro
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Arosa SC
3:0
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Arosa SC
1:1
Jan 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs CD Boiro
1:1
Apr 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Arosa SC
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arosa SC 36 / 100
CD Boiro 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arosa SC CD Boiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Boiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arosa SC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CD Boiro has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Arosa SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arosa SC VS CD Boiro
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arosa SC

(Home)
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1
Pontevedra
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
02 May
Cambados
0 : 2
Arosa SC
Page 1 of 6

CD Boiro

(Away)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
CD Boiro
3 : 1
Montaneros
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)