Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arosa SC vs CD Choco

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023
Arosa SC Logo

Arosa SC

1 - 0
FT
CD Choco Logo

CD Choco

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arosa SC in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arosa SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Arosa SC
15%
Draws
0%
CD Choco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arosa SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Arosa SC have won more games recently than CD Choco.
  • Win probability leans Arosa SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 68%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arosa SC CD Choco
Matches Played 40 33
Wins 23 5
Draws 13 6
Losses 4 22
Goals Scored 1.57 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs CD Choco
1:0
Dec 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Arosa SC
1:1
Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Arosa SC
2:2
Nov 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs CD Choco
1:2
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs CD Choco
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arosa SC 95 / 100
CD Choco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arosa SC CD Choco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arosa SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arosa SC scored in 88% of their last 40 games.

CD Choco let in goals in 97% of their last 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Arosa SC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

CD Choco lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arosa SC VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arosa SC

(Home)
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1
Pontevedra
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
02 May
Cambados
0 : 2
Arosa SC
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Boiro
19 Apr
Barco
0 : 1
Arosa SC
Page 1 of 8

CD Choco

(Away)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 30 17 10 3 47:18 61
2 Arosa SC 30 16 10 4 45:26 58
3 Rapido de Bouzas 30 14 14 2 39:24 56
4 Racing Club Villalbes 30 11 13 6 35:24 46
5 UD Ourense 30 11 12 7 38:30 45
6 Alondras 30 11 8 11 36:29 41
7 Atletico Arteixo 30 11 8 11 37:42 41
8 Somozas 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
9 Estradense 30 11 6 13 33:38 39
10 Gran Pena 30 10 8 12 47:37 38
11 Paiosaco 30 11 4 15 31:42 37
12 Silva SD 30 10 7 13 38:46 37
13 Viveiro 30 9 10 11 29:37 37
14 Arzua 30 9 4 17 28:48 31
15 Barco 30 8 7 15 26:38 31
16 CD Choco 30 3 6 21 27:52 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 (Play Offs)