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Arosa SC vs Somozas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
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Match Events

76' Event
Bellas B.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Arosa SC in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arosa SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Arosa SC
22%
Draws
18%
Somozas
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Arosa SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Arosa SC have won more games recently than Somozas.
  • Model gives Arosa SC a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 68%
Somozas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arosa SC Somozas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Somozas
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Arosa SC
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arosa SC vs Somozas
1:2
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Arosa SC
1:4
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Arosa SC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arosa SC 68 / 100
Somozas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arosa SC Somozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arosa SC scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Somozas conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Arosa SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arosa SC VS Somozas
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arosa SC

(Home)
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
02 May
Cambados
0 : 2
Arosa SC
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Boiro
19 Apr
Barco
0 : 1
Arosa SC
12 Apr
Arosa SC
0 : 2
Compostela
Page 1 of 6

Somozas

(Away)
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
19 Apr
Estradense
2 : 1
Somozas
12 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Viveiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arosa SC342010458:3570
2Compostela341911455:2868
3Atletico Arteixo341610854:4458
4Estradense341411946:3353
5Racing Club Villalbes341313836:2952
6Gran Pena341312957:4251
7Somozas341312937:3251
8CD Boiro341312945:2951
9Lugo B3412121041:3548
10Montaneros3412121048:4248
11Barco341371435:4146
12Alondras341291345:4845
13Celtiga341171647:4840
14Viveiro349111427:4138
15Silva SD34991636:4836
16Cambados344141624:4326
17Noia34672128:5725
18Barbadas-Bentraces34472325:6919
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)