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Stadium Background

Arras vs Saint-Omer

France France

Coupe de France 2012/2013
Sat, Nov 17, 2012
3 - 2
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Arras advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Arras
15%
Draws
51%
Saint-Omer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint-Omer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint-Omer come out ahead of Arras on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Arras's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Saint-Omer arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Arras, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Arras Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Omer Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arras Saint-Omer
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 5 13
Draws 11 0
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2012 Coupe de France
Arras vs Saint-Omer
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arras 36 / 100
Saint-Omer 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arras Saint-Omer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Arras found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Saint-Omer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Saint-Omer registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arras VS Saint-Omer
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arras

(Home)
16 Nov
Arras
0 : 2
Valenciennes
14 Feb
Loon Plage
2 : 1
Arras
07 Feb
Arras
2 : 1
St Quentin
25 May
Fleury-Merogis
5 : 4
Arras
18 May
Arras
3 : 3
Haguenau
Page 1 of 7

Saint-Omer

(Away)
17 Nov
Saint-Omer
1 : 2
US Noyelles S/Lens
06 Jan
Saint-Omer
2 : 3
Dunkerque
09 Dec
Saint-Omer
2 : 1
Epinal
18 Nov
Saint-Omer
2 : 1
Saint Denis U.S.
14 Feb
Saint-Omer
0 : 1
GFC Ajaccio
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Club de France 2
Raismes 1
Camon 1
Amiens AC 2
Saint-Malo 2
Herouville 0
Tefana 1
Pontivy 5
St. Saturnin 3
Montagnarde 2
Club Colonial 0
Vertou 1
Avenir Lozere 1
Pont Du Gard 0
UES Montmorillon 0
Limoges 1
Limonest 4
Thiers 3
Roche Saint-Genest 0
Arles-Avignon 1
Belfort 7
Quetigny 0
Belfort Sud 1
Sainte Marguerite 2
Saint-Amand 3
Beauvais 1
Bretigny Foot 0
Le Havre 2
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laval 1
AC Plouzane 0
Courseulles RSG 3
Guingamp 4
AC Ajaccio -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Blois Foot 41 3
Perigny 0
Aire 0
Rouen 2
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CA Vitry 2
Marly 1
JA Drancy 1
Boulogne 2
Arras 3
Saint-Omer 2
Val Dize 0
Angers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 2
Chantilly 0
Breteuil 1
Caen 3
Le Portel 6
Enquin Les Mines 0
Saint-Pauloise FC 2
Dunkerque 3
Chambly 1
Marck 0
Avion 1
Meaux 2
Plabennec 2
Avranches 0
St. Colomban Locmine 3
Sable 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Nimes 2
Luzenac 1
Stade Montois 0
Tarbes 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Brest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Pontivyen 2
Change 1
Saumur Olympique 0
Lucon 2
Bastia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vallieres ET 2
Millery Vourles 1
Neuville 1
Borgo 2
Sedan 2
Dijon 1
Wittemheim 0
Strasbourg 6
Colmar 5
L'Etoile 0
Feyzin 1
Pontarlier 2
Chauray 5
La Roche Vendee 0
Limagnole 2
Agde 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorient -
Troyes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mulhouse 3
Lossi 0
Entente Roche Novillars 0
Montceau 3
AS Muret 3
Narbonne 2
Football Club Marmande 47 1
La Brede 2
Vitre 2
La Vieille Lyre 1
Stade Poitevin 0
Fontenay 1
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco 3
Toulon 1
Auxerre 0
Bourg Peronnas 1
Thaon 2
Dijon Parc 1
ES Metz 0
Haguenau 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sochaux -
Venissieux FC 2
Grenoble 1
USC Corte 1
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 3
Villefranche 2
Dommartin Tour 0
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Savigneux Montbrison 2
Le Mans 3
Aubervilliers 0
Cesson 2
Evreux 3
Ytrac 1
Balma 0
RC Ancenis 0
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympique les Mureaux 2
Lesquin 0
Biesheim 2
Metz 6
Drouais 1
Viry-Chatillon 0
Orleans 1
Evry 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nancy -
Lens 3
Les Lilas 0
Cambrai 0
Armentieres 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Carquefou 2
Le Rheu 0
Monce En Belin 1
St. Leonard Kreisker 2
Niort 1
Gueret 0
Pau 0
Stade Bordelais 1
Nantes 1
Romorantin 0
AS Plobannalec Lesconil 1
St. Renan 2
Compiegne 2
Mtsapere 1
Le Geldar 1
Dieppe 4
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Louis Neuweg 2
GFC Ajaccio 0
Illzach Modenheim 2
Epinal 3
Raon L Etape 2
Dizier 1
Schirrhein 1
Bar-Le-Duc 2
Fleury-Merogis 2
Tours 1
Epernay 0
Amneville 2
Valenciennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aurillac 2
Colomiers 0
Saint Jean Dardiere 0
Istres 2
Moulins 2
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Clermont 1
Moulins-Yzeure 2
Martigues 2
Berre SP 0
Salinieres 1
Athletico Marseille 2
Chateauroux 3
Rodeo 0
Aulnay 0
Mondeville 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
1/64-finals
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
Racing Club de France 0
Amiens AC 1
Saint-Malo 3
Pontivy 0
St. Saturnin 0
Vertou 3
Avenir Lozere 4
Limoges 2
Limonest 0
Arles-Avignon 1
Belfort 1
Sainte Marguerite 0
Saint-Amand 1
Le Havre 3
Marseille -
TBD -
Laval 1
Guingamp 2
AC Ajaccio -
TBD -
Blois Foot 41 0
Rouen 2
Toulouse -
TBD -
CA Vitry 0
Boulogne 3
Arras 1
Angers 0
TBD -
PSG -
St Etienne -
TBD -
Reims Ste Anne 0
Caen 5
Le Portel 2
Dunkerque 1
Chambly 0
Meaux 1
Plabennec 3
Sable 2
TBD -
Reims -
Nimes 5
Tarbes 0
TBD -
Lille -
Brest -
TBD -
Stade Pontivyen 1
Lucon 4
Bastia -
TBD -
Vallieres ET 0
Borgo 2
Sedan 1
Strasbourg 0
Colmar 2
Pontarlier 3
Chauray 1
Agde 0
TBD -
Lorient -
Troyes -
TBD -
Mulhouse 0
Montceau 2
AS Muret 1
La Brede 0
Vitre 1
Fontenay 2
Montpellier -
TBD -
Monaco 0
Bourg Peronnas 1
Thaon 3
Haguenau 2
TBD -
Sochaux -
Venissieux FC 1
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 0
Villefranche 1
Savigneux Montbrison 2
Le Mans 1
Evreux 0
Ytrac 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 6
Nice -
TBD -
Olympique les Mureaux 0
Metz 1
Drouais 3
Evry 2
TBD -
Nancy -
Lens 6
Armentieres 0
TBD -
Rennes -
Carquefou 5
St. Leonard Kreisker 0
Niort 0
Stade Bordelais 1
Nantes 1
St. Renan 0
Compiegne 0
Dieppe 4
Lyon -
TBD -
St. Louis Neuweg 1
Epinal 3
Raon L Etape 3
Bar-Le-Duc 2
Fleury-Merogis 0
Amneville 2
Valenciennes -
TBD -
Aurillac 0
Istres 1
Moulins 1
Moulins-Yzeure 0
Martigues 1
Athletico Marseille 4
Chateauroux 1
Mondeville 0
TBD -
Bordeaux -
1/32-finals
Thonon-Evian 2
Amiens AC 1
Saint-Malo 1
Vertou 2
Avenir Lozere 2
Arles-Avignon 0
Belfort 1
Le Havre 3
Marseille 2
Guingamp 1
AC Ajaccio 1
Rouen 2
Toulouse 1
Boulogne 0
Arras 3
PSG 4
St Etienne 3
Caen 2
Le Portel 0
Meaux 1
Plabennec 1
Reims 0
Nimes 2
Lille 3
Brest 2
Lucon 1
Bastia 0
Borgo 2
Sedan 2
Pontarlier 1
Chauray 1
Lorient 5
Troyes 1
Montceau 0
AS Muret 0
Fontenay 2
Montpellier 2
Bourg Peronnas 1
Thaon 0
Sochaux 1
Venissieux FC 2
Savigneux Montbrison 1
Le Mans 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Nice 3
Metz 2
Drouais 1
Nancy 5
Lens 2
Rennes 1
Carquefou 0
Stade Bordelais 1
Nantes 3
Dieppe 2
Lyon 3
Epinal 4
Raon L Etape 2
Amneville 1
Valenciennes 3
Istres 4
Moulins 2
Athletico Marseille 1
Chateauroux 2
Bordeaux 3
1/16-finals
Thonon-Evian 2
Vertou 0
Avenir Lozere 0
Le Havre 3
Marseille 2
Rouen 1
Toulouse 1
PSG 3
St Etienne 1
Meaux 0
Plabennec 1
Lille 3
Brest 3
Borgo 1
Sedan 0
Lorient 1
Troyes 5
Fontenay 0
Montpellier 2
Sochaux 3
Venissieux FC 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 0
Nice 2
Nancy 3
Lens 3
Stade Bordelais 0
Nantes 1
Epinal 2
Raon L Etape 1
Istres 0
Moulins 1
Bordeaux 2
1/8-finals
Thonon-Evian 3
Le Havre 1
Marseille 0
PSG 2
St Etienne 3
Lille 2
Brest 0
Lorient 3
Troyes 2
Sochaux 1
Venissieux FC 0
Nancy 2
Lens 2
Epinal 0
Raon L Etape 2
Bordeaux 3
Quarter-finals
Thonon-Evian 2
PSG 1
St Etienne 1
Lorient 2
Troyes 3
Nancy 0
Lens 2
Bordeaux 3
Semi-finals
Thonon-Evian 4
Lorient 0
Troyes 1
Bordeaux 2
Final
Thonon-Evian 2
Bordeaux 3