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Arronches Benfica vs Rio Maior SC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 game between Arronches Benfica and Rio Maior SC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Maior SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Arronches Benfica
20%
Draws
38%
Rio Maior SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arronches Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Maior SC haven't matched Arronches Benfica's recent run of results.
  • Arronches Benfica are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Arronches Benfica Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Maior SC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arronches Benfica Rio Maior SC
Matches Played 33 17
Wins 15 1
Draws 9 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Rio Maior SC vs Arronches Benfica
0:0
Dec 11, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Arronches Benfica vs Rio Maior SC
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arronches Benfica 42 / 100
Rio Maior SC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arronches Benfica Rio Maior SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Maior SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 17 matches.

Arronches Benfica's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Away concern: Rio Maior SC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Arronches Benfica VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11º Dezembro25155537:1950
2Pero Pinheiro25157434:2449
3Santarem25139340:1448
4Marinhense25126731:2442
5SB Castelo Branco251010533:2740
6Mortagua FC2599741:3836
7Sertanense2599730:2536
8Sintrense25109734:2536
9GD Coruchense2589930:2830
10Uniao Da Serra25931331:4030
11GS Loures25671226:4125
12Arronches Benfica25541615:3919
13Alcains25421923:4714
14Rio Maior SC010120:00