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Arroyo vs Diter Zafra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arroyo in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arroyo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Arroyo
15%
Draws
0%
Diter Zafra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arroyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arroyo lately — more wins on the board than Diter Zafra.
  • Arroyo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Arroyo Clean Sheet 16%
Diter Zafra Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arroyo Diter Zafra
Matches Played 42 33
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 4
Losses 21 24
Goals Scored 1.05 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Arroyo
1:0
Sep 25, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs Diter Zafra
1:2
May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs Diter Zafra
5:0
Jan 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Arroyo
0:4
Apr 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs Diter Zafra
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arroyo 39 / 100
Diter Zafra 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arroyo Diter Zafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arroyo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diter Zafra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Diter Zafra lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Arroyo scored in 62% of their last 42 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arroyo VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arroyo

(Home)
11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2
CD Calamonte
04 May
Montijo
1 : 0
Arroyo
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4
SP Villafranca
17 Apr
Moralo
5 : 0
Arroyo
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2
CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 9

Diter Zafra

(Away)
12 May
Extremadura UD B
6 : 2
Diter Zafra
07 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 3
Don Benito
30 Apr
Santa Amalia
2 : 1
Diter Zafra
23 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
4 : 0
Diter Zafra
13 Apr
Diter Zafra
3 : 4
UP Plasencia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 9 2 106:25 90
2 CD Badajoz 38 26 9 3 90:25 87
3 Arroyo 38 25 9 4 78:23 84
4 Jerez CF 38 24 9 5 69:24 81
5 Don Benito 38 18 12 8 53:39 66
6 CD Azuaga 38 17 11 10 75:47 62
7 CD Calamonte 38 20 2 16 68:66 62
8 Pueblonuevo 38 16 11 11 49:41 59
9 CD Coria 38 14 10 14 56:44 52
10 Diter Zafra 38 13 8 17 45:65 47
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 13 7 18 39:59 46
12 Moralo 38 11 12 15 53:58 45
13 Fuente de Cantos 38 12 9 17 46:66 45
14 CP Valdivia 38 12 7 19 34:63 43
15 Olivenza FC 38 8 10 20 38:61 34
16 CP Amanecer 38 7 13 18 35:66 34
17 Santa Amalia 38 7 10 21 35:70 31
18 Sanvicenteno 38 9 4 25 36:83 31
19 Valdelacalzada 38 7 8 23 29:71 29
20 Deportivo Pacense 38 6 6 26 42:80 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)