Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 game between Arroyo and Imperio Merida finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Arroyo carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Arroyo Clean Sheet 16%
Imperio Merida Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arroyo | Imperio Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 21 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.05 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 2.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Imperio Merida vs Arroyo
0:2
Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs Imperio Merida
1:0
Apr 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs Imperio Merida
1:1
Dec 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Imperio Merida vs Arroyo
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arroyo 30 / 100
Imperio Merida 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arroyo Imperio Merida
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arroyo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Imperio Merida's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Arroyo scored in 66% of their last 41 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Imperio Merida has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arroyo VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arroyo
(Home) 11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2 CD Calamonte
04 May
Montijo
1 : 0 Arroyo
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4 SP Villafranca
17 Apr
Moralo
5 : 0 Arroyo
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2 CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 9
11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2 CD Calamonte
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4 SP Villafranca
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2 CD Diocesano
30 Mar
Arroyo
2 : 2 Castuera
16 Mar
Arroyo
1 : 2 Pueblonuevo
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Imperio Merida
(Away) 15 May
Atletico San Jose Promesas
3 : 3 Imperio Merida
08 May
Imperio Merida
0 : 2 Arroyo
01 May
CD Coria
3 : 0 Imperio Merida
21 Apr
Imperio Merida
1 : 4 Olivenza CP
17 Apr
Santa Amalia
3 : 2 Imperio Merida
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15 May
Atletico San Jose Promesas
3 : 3 Imperio Merida
01 May
CD Coria
3 : 0 Imperio Merida
17 Apr
Santa Amalia
3 : 2 Imperio Merida
03 Apr
Miajadas
3 : 0 Imperio Merida
20 Mar
Diter Zafra
2 : 0 Imperio Merida
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Badajoz | 38 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 109:19 | 101 |
| 2 | Jerez CF | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 77:14 | 89 |
| 3 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 77:26 | 79 |
| 4 | Arroyo | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 72:43 | 74 |
| 5 | Merida UD | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 55:28 | 72 |
| 6 | Sp. Villanueva | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 71:50 | 67 |
| 7 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:49 | 57 |
| 8 | Don Benito | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 48:50 | 53 |
| 9 | Sanvicenteno | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 47:49 | 51 |
| 10 | Imperio Merida | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 59:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Olivenza CP | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Miajadas | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 28:42 | 44 |
| 13 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 54:68 | 43 |
| 14 | Moralo | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 40:52 | 43 |
| 15 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 35:54 | 40 |
| 16 | CD Coria | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | CD Santa Marta | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 43:70 | 31 |
| 18 | Montehermoso | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 31:79 | 30 |
| 19 | La Estrella | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 27:84 | 27 |
| 20 | SP Villafranca | 38 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 30:87 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
