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Arroyo vs Miajadas

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023
Arroyo Logo

Arroyo

1 - 0
FT
Miajadas Logo

Miajadas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arroyo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arroyo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Arroyo
20%
Draws
40%
Miajadas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Miajadas have won more games recently than Arroyo.
  • Win probability leans Arroyo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Arroyo Clean Sheet 16%
Miajadas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arroyo Miajadas
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.84 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs Miajadas
1:0
Nov 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Arroyo
2:1
Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Arroyo
1:0
Nov 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs Miajadas
2:1
Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs Arroyo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arroyo 36 / 100
Miajadas 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arroyo Miajadas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miajadas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Miajadas's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Arroyo found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Arroyo VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arroyo

(Home)
11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2
CD Calamonte
04 May
Montijo
1 : 0
Arroyo
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4
SP Villafranca
17 Apr
Moralo
5 : 0
Arroyo
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2
CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 7

Miajadas

(Away)
23 Apr
CD Calamonte
4 : 0
Miajadas
16 Apr
Miajadas
0 : 4
Jerez CF
05 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 0
Miajadas
01 Apr
UP Plasencia
1 : 1
Miajadas
26 Mar
Miajadas
0 : 1
Moralo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Llerenense 30 18 10 2 52:22 64
2 CD Azuaga 30 19 5 6 58:29 62
3 Moralo 30 15 10 5 52:24 55
4 Olivenza FC 30 15 8 7 46:33 53
5 Jerez CF 30 13 10 7 39:25 49
6 Arroyo 30 13 7 10 30:31 46
7 CF Trujillo 30 12 8 10 28:28 44
8 SP Villafranca 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
9 CD Calamonte 30 12 6 12 38:33 42
10 Fuente de Cantos 30 9 12 9 23:28 39
11 Pueblonuevo 30 7 11 12 36:41 32
12 Montehermoso 30 8 7 15 31:53 31
13 Don Alvaro 30 7 6 17 27:54 27
14 Miajadas 30 7 5 18 23:41 26
15 UP Plasencia 30 6 6 18 31:43 24
16 La Estrella 30 5 6 19 30:60 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 (Play Offs)