Sport Picks

Ukraine

Druha Liga 2016/2017

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Bila Tserkva play FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi in the Druha Liga 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arsenal Bila Tserkva averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Arsenal Bila Tserkva won 2, FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 28, 2018 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Arsenal Bila Tserkva and 1.05 for FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi. This points to a FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Arsenal Bila Tserkva

15%

Draws

52%

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Arsenal Bila Tserkva picked up more points recently compared to FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Arsenal Bila Tserkva Clean Sheet 22%

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arsenal Bila Tserkva	FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Matches Played	27	32
Wins	4	6
Draws	1	8
Losses	22	18
Goals Scored	0.67	0.75
Goals Conceded	2.3	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2018 Druha Liga

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Arsenal Bila Tserkva

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Oct 8, 2017 Druha Liga

Arsenal Bila Tserkva vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Sep 9, 2017 Druha Liga

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Arsenal Bila Tserkva

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

May 13, 2017 Druha Liga

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Arsenal Bila Tserkva

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

3:2

Oct 7, 2016 Druha Liga

Arsenal Bila Tserkva vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Bila Tserkva 34 / 100

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arsenal Bila Tserkva FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arsenal Bila Tserkva attacking → ← attacking FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Bila Tserkva scored in 33% of their last 27 games.

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Arsenal Bila Tserkva went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 26

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zhemchuzhyna Odesa	32	24	4	4	75:22	76
2	Rukh Lviv	32	23	5	4	68:24	74
3	Kremin	32	21	5	6	67:29	68
4	FK Balkany	32	16	9	7	54:32	57
5	Real Pharma Odesa	32	16	9	7	50:31	57
6	Inhulets 2	32	14	8	10	50:33	50
7	Nyva Vinnytsya	32	14	8	10	42:33	50
8	Nova Kakhovka	32	14	6	12	62:46	48
9	Myr Hornostajivka	32	13	9	10	39:31	48
10	Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (2004)	32	14	4	14	51:35	46
11	FC Nikopol	32	12	5	15	40:49	41
12	FC Mariupol II	32	11	1	20	42:56	34
13	Krystal	32	7	5	20	31:24	26
14	FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi	32	7	4	21	29:68	25
15	Arsenal Bila Tserkva	32	7	4	21	29:82	25
16	FC Metalurh Zaporizhya	32	7	2	23	35:104	23
17	Sudnobudivnyk Mykolaiv	32	6	4	22	19:84	22