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Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FC Minsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Haradski Stadium, Barysaw
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Logo

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

1 - 2
FT
FC Minsk Logo

FC Minsk

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ksenofontov A.
42' Event
Migdalenok A.
Assist: Ksenofontov A.
60'
Sub
Zaleskiy A. In: Gorbachik V.
Out: Zaleskiy A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Minsk in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
35%
Draws
45%
FC Minsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Minsk have won more games recently than Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
  • Model gives FC Minsk a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 13%
FC Minsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Dzerzhinsk FC Minsk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Minsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:0
Aug 1, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FC Minsk
1:2
Jun 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FC Minsk
3:1
Mar 20, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FC Minsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FC Minsk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorbachik V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

FC Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Ksenofontov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Migdalenok A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 14 / 100
FC Minsk 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk FC Minsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Minsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

FC Minsk let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk VS FC Minsk
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Home)
09 Oct
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 6

FC Minsk

(Away)
10 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 1
Zhodino
03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
Belshina
2 : 0
FC Minsk
11 Sept
FC Minsk
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Neman 23 12 4 7 29:20 40
6 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 24 10 4 10 30:29 34
9 Zhodino 23 8 6 9 29:29 30
10 Slavia Mozyr 23 6 7 10 24:28 25
11 FK Baranovici 24 6 7 11 24:41 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 24 5 8 11 24:42 23
13 BATE 23 4 9 10 18:28 21
14 Belshina 23 5 6 12 23:40 21
15 Naftan 24 4 5 15 24:55 17
16 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)