Sport Picks
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FK Baranovici - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Belarus
Vysshaya Liga Haradski Stadium, Barysaw 
Match Events
40'
40'
Bozhko E.
46'
46'
Sub
Lapun E. In: Tuzakbaev A.
Out: Lapun E.
66'
66'
Sub
Bondarenko M. In: Potorocha V.
Out: Bondarenko M.
AI Match Summary
The Vysshaya Liga game between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and FK Baranovici finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Baranovici
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Arsenal Dzerzhinsk have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — FK Baranovici are scoring more at 1.14.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 13%
FK Baranovici Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | FK Baranovici |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FK Baranovici
0:0
May 8, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FK Baranovici
0:4
Oct 28, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs FK Baranovici
3:0
Jun 24, 2023 Pershaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 31 / 100
FK Baranovici 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk FK Baranovici
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Baranovici Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Baranovici has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Attacking prowess: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk VS FK Baranovici
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
(Home) 09 Oct
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 1 Dynamo Brest
03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0 FK Baranovici
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 7
09 Oct
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 1 Dynamo Brest
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0 FK Baranovici
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4 Zhodino
14 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 : 3 Slavia Mozyr
01 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 : 2 FC Minsk
Page 1 of 3
FK Baranovici
(Away) 10 Oct
Neman
3 : 0 FK Baranovici
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2 FC Gomel
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0 FK Baranovici
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1 FK Baranovici
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Neman
3 : 0 FK Baranovici
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0 FK Baranovici
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1 FK Baranovici
19 Aug
ML Vitebsk
2 : 0 FK Baranovici
25 Jul
Isloch Minsk
1 : 2 FK Baranovici
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch Minsk | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Din. Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37:16 | 43 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39:23 | 43 |
| 5 | Neman | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 29:20 | 40 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33:18 | 39 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28:21 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:29 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:29 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:28 | 25 |
| 11 | FK Baranovici | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:41 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24:42 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 18:28 | 21 |
| 14 | Belshina | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23:40 | 21 |
| 15 | Naftan | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24:55 | 17 |
| 16 | Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20:36 | 16 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)
