Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Neman

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup Haradski Stadium, Barysaw
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Logo

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Sun, Jul 26, 2026
2 - 3
03:00 PM
Neman Logo

Neman

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Oreshkevich I.
24'
Sub
Polyakov D. In: Lutik D.
Out: Polyakov D.
36'
Sub
Sotnikov N. In: Tkachenko V.
Out: Sotnikov N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Neman advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
30%
Draws
34%
Neman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Arsenal Dzerzhinsk haven't matched Neman's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Arsenal Dzerzhinsk a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Neman arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Neman, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Neman have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 20%
Neman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Neman
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Neman
2:3
Jul 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Neman vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:1
Oct 10, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Neman vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Neman
0:3
Oct 6, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Neman
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasin I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vasilyev V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Neman Compare

Top Goalscorer Savitskiy P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kravtsov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 36 / 100
Neman 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Neman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Neman has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk VS Neman
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Home)
26 Jul
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 3
Neman
18 Jul
BumProm Gomel
0 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Jul
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 3
Vitebsk
04 Jul
Neman
0 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
26 Jun
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 : 1
FC Gomel
Page 1 of 6

Neman

(Away)
26 Jul
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 3
Neman
19 Jul
Soligorsk
1 : 2
Neman
11 Jul
FC Gomel
1 : 1
Neman
04 Jul
Neman
0 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
28 Jun
Dnepr Mogilev
2 : 0
Neman
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn3
FK Lida4
TBD-
Zhodino-
BGU Minsk0
Osipovichi2
TBD-
Dnepr Mogilev-
Technolog Mogilev0
FC Slonim6
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Polotsk0
Uni X Labs2
TBD-
FK Baranovici-
Bobovnya0
BumProm Gomel2
TBD-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Leskhoz0
Soligorsk3
TBD-
Neman-
Drut Belynichi0
Orsha7
TBD-
Naftan-
Urozhaynaya0
Molodechno3
TBD-
BATE-
Gazovik Vitebsk1
Volna Pinsk4
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Stanles Pinsk1
Krumkachy4
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Neman Mosty1
Niva Dolbizno4
TBD-
FC Gomel-
Krechet0
Ostrovets8
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Ivatsevichi1
Slutsk3
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Minskoe More0
SKA-1938 Minsk3
TBD-
ML Vitebsk-
Viktoria Maryina Gorka1
Nadezhda Baranovici0
TBD-
Belshina-
Vertical Kalinkovichi0
Smorgon7
TBD-
FC Minsk-
1/16-finals
FK Lida0
Zhodino4
Osipovichi1
Dnepr Mogilev3
FC Slonim0
Isloch Minsk1
Uni X Labs1
FK Baranovici4
BumProm Gomel0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Soligorsk1
Neman2
Orsha3
Naftan2
Molodechno1
BATE4
Volna Pinsk0
Slavia Mozyr5
Krumkachy0
Dynamo Brest5
Niva Dolbizno2
FC Gomel3
Ostrovets2
Vitebsk3
Slutsk0
Din. Minsk2
SKA-1938 Minsk3
ML Vitebsk5
Viktoria Maryina Gorka1
Belshina8
Smorgon3
FC Minsk4
1/8-finals
Zhodino1
Dnepr Mogilev2
Isloch Minsk1
FK Baranovici2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2
Neman3
Orsha-
BATE-
Slavia Mozyr2
Dynamo Brest1
FC Gomel1
Vitebsk2
Din. Minsk-
ML Vitebsk-
Belshina1
FC Minsk2
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-