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Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Neman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup Haradski Stadium, Barysaw
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Logo

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Sun, Jul 26, 2026
2 - 3
03:00 PM
Neman Logo

Neman

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Oreshkevich I.
24'
Sub
Polyakov D. In: Lutik D.
Out: Polyakov D.
36'
Sub
Sotnikov N. In: Tkachenko V.
Out: Sotnikov N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
35%
Draws
50%
Neman
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Neman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Arsenal Dzerzhinsk haven't matched Neman's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Neman a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Neman arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Neman, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Neman have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 10%
Neman Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Neman
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.61 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Neman
2:3
Jul 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Neman vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:1
Oct 10, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Neman vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Neman
0:3
Oct 6, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Neman
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasin I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vasilyev V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Neman Compare

Top Goalscorer Savitskiy P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kravtsov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 14 / 100
Neman 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Neman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Neman has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk VS Neman
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Home)
09 Oct
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Brest
03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 7

Neman

(Away)
02 Oct
Neman
1 : 2
Dynamo Brest
19 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 2
Neman
12 Sept
Neman
1 : 0
Zhodino
06 Sept
Belshina
2 : 2
Neman
29 Aug
Neman
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn 3
FK Lida 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
BGU Minsk 0
Osipovichi 2
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
Technolog Mogilev 0
FC Slonim 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Polotsk 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
FK Baranovici -
Bobovnya 0
BumProm Gomel 2
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Leskhoz 0
Soligorsk 3
TBD -
Neman -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 7
TBD -
Naftan -
Urozhaynaya 0
Molodechno 3
TBD -
BATE -
Gazovik Vitebsk 1
Volna Pinsk 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Stanles Pinsk 1
Krumkachy 4
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Neman Mosty 1
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Krechet 0
Ostrovets 8
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Ivatsevichi 1
Slutsk 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Minskoe More 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
TBD -
Belshina -
Vertical Kalinkovichi 0
Smorgon 7
TBD -
FC Minsk -
1/16-finals
FK Lida 0
Zhodino 4
Osipovichi 1
Dnepr Mogilev 3
FC Slonim 0
Isloch Minsk 1
Uni X Labs 1
FK Baranovici 4
BumProm Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Soligorsk 1
Neman 2
Orsha 3
Naftan 2
Molodechno 1
BATE 4
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 5
Krumkachy 0
Dynamo Brest 5
Niva Dolbizno 2
FC Gomel 3
Ostrovets 2
Vitebsk 3
Slutsk 0
Din. Minsk 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Belshina 8
Smorgon 3
FC Minsk 4
1/8-finals
Zhodino 1
Dnepr Mogilev 2
Isloch Minsk 1
FK Baranovici 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2
Neman 3
Orsha -
BATE -
Slavia Mozyr 2
Dynamo Brest 1
FC Gomel 1
Vitebsk 2
Din. Minsk -
ML Vitebsk -
Belshina 1
FC Minsk 2
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -