Sport Picks
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Slavia Mozyr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Belarus
Vysshaya Liga Haradski Stadium, Barysaw 
Match Events
13'
13'
Sub
Vasin I. In: Matveev M.
Out: Vasin I.
19'
19'
Antilevskiy D.
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Sub
Melnikov N. In: Shemruk A.
Out: Melnikov N.
AI Match Summary
Slavia Mozyr in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slavia Mozyr.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Arsenal Dzerzhinsk haven't matched Slavia Mozyr's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Slavia Mozyr's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 11%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Slavia Mozyr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Slavia Mozyr
1:3
Apr 11, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Slavia Mozyr
0:2
Mar 8, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Slavia Mozyr
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Slavia Mozyr Compare
Top Goalscorer Solovey A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Chernook K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 22 / 100
Slavia Mozyr 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Slavia Mozyr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Slavia Mozyr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).
Slavia Mozyr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk VS Slavia Mozyr
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
(Home) 09 Oct
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 1 Dynamo Brest
03 Oct
FC Minsk
0 : 0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0 FK Baranovici
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 7
09 Oct
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 1 Dynamo Brest
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0 FK Baranovici
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4 Zhodino
14 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 : 3 Slavia Mozyr
01 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 : 2 FC Minsk
Page 1 of 3
Slavia Mozyr
(Away) 10 Oct
BATE
2 : 1 Slavia Mozyr
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1 Naftan
11 Sept
FC Minsk
1 : 0 Slavia Mozyr
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0 Vitebsk
29 Aug
Neman
1 : 0 Slavia Mozyr
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
BATE
2 : 1 Slavia Mozyr
11 Sept
FC Minsk
1 : 0 Slavia Mozyr
29 Aug
Neman
1 : 0 Slavia Mozyr
14 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 : 3 Slavia Mozyr
19 Jul
Volna Pinsk
0 : 5 Slavia Mozyr
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch Minsk | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Din. Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37:16 | 43 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39:23 | 43 |
| 5 | Neman | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 29:20 | 40 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33:18 | 39 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28:21 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:29 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:29 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:28 | 25 |
| 11 | FK Baranovici | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:41 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24:42 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 18:28 | 21 |
| 14 | Belshina | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23:40 | 21 |
| 15 | Naftan | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24:55 | 17 |
| 16 | Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20:36 | 16 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)
