Sport Picks

Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 Haradski Stadium, Barysaw

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

0 - 2

Slavia Mozyr

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Zaleskiy A.

39'

Solovey A.

54'

Tkachenko V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Slavia Mozyr in this Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

33%

Draws

27%

Slavia Mozyr

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Slavia Mozyr have won more games recently than Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Slavia Mozyr arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Slavia Mozyr, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 68%

Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arsenal Dzerzhinsk	Slavia Mozyr
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	10	12
Draws	6	7
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.13	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Vysshaya Liga

Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

1:1

Mar 15, 2026 Belarusian Cup

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Slavia Mozyr

0:2

Mar 8, 2026 Belarusian Cup

Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

2:0

Sep 12, 2025 Vysshaya Liga

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Slavia Mozyr

1:0

Apr 25, 2025 Vysshaya Liga

Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Slavia Mozyr Compare

Top Goalscorer Shevchenko E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Solovey A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 50 / 100

Slavia Mozyr 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Slavia Mozyr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Slavia Mozyr's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk VS Slavia Mozyr

1.13 Goals Scored 1.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Home)

18 Jul

BumProm Gomel

0 : 1

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

12 Jul

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

0 : 3

Vitebsk

04 Jul

Neman

0 : 1

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

26 Jun

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

1 : 1

FC Gomel

21 Jun

BATE

2 : 3

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Page 1 of 6

Slavia Mozyr

(Away)

19 Jul

Volna Pinsk

0 : 5

Slavia Mozyr

11 Jul

Dynamo Brest

4 : 1

Slavia Mozyr

01 Jul

Slavia Mozyr

2 : 4

ML Vitebsk

26 Jun

FK Baranovici

1 : 1

Slavia Mozyr

20 Jun

Slavia Mozyr

0 : 2

Isloch Minsk

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Stanles Pinsk0

Volna Pinsk3

TBD-

FC Minsk-

Drut Belynichi0

Orsha2

TBD-

Dynamo Brest-

Polotsk0

FK Baranovici5

TBD-

ML Vitebsk-

Svisloch1

FC Slonim4

TBD-

Neman-

Gazovik Vitebsk0

Ostrovets6

TBD-

Slutsk-

FK Miory0

Niva Dolbizno4

TBD-

Isloch Minsk-

Mozyrskiy NPZ0

Lokomotiv Gomel3

TBD-

Din. Minsk-

Dnepr Mogilev-

TBD-

Vitebsk-

Krechet0

Osipovichi4

TBD-

Slavia Mozyr-

Technolog Mogilev0

DMedia6

TBD-

FC Gomel-

FK Inform0

FK Lida6

TBD-

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-

Belshina-

TBD-

Molodechno-

Nadezhda Baranovici0

Uni X Labs2

TBD-

Smorgon-

Neman Mosty0

BumProm Gomel4

TBD-

Zhodino-

Bobovnya1

Krumkachy2

TBD-

Naftan-

Agro Pelishche0

SKA-1938 Minsk2

TBD-

BATE-

1/16-finals

Volna Pinsk2

FC Minsk3

Orsha1

Dynamo Brest8

FK Baranovici1

ML Vitebsk2

FC Slonim1

Neman0

Ostrovets0

Slutsk3

Niva Dolbizno0

Isloch Minsk4

Lokomotiv Gomel1

Din. Minsk2

Dnepr Mogilev0

Vitebsk1

Osipovichi1

Slavia Mozyr5

DMedia0

FC Gomel2

FK Lida0

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1

Belshina0

Molodechno3

Uni X Labs0

Smorgon2

BumProm Gomel0

Zhodino2

Krumkachy1

Naftan2

SKA-1938 Minsk0

BATE1

1/8-finals

FC Minsk2

Dynamo Brest3

ML Vitebsk8

FC Slonim1

Slutsk1

Isloch Minsk2

Din. Minsk2

Vitebsk1

Slavia Mozyr1

FC Gomel0

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1

Molodechno0

Smorgon0

Zhodino4

Naftan3

BATE4

Quarter-finals

Dynamo Brest0

ML Vitebsk4

Isloch Minsk1

Din. Minsk2

Slavia Mozyr4

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0

Zhodino1

BATE2

Semi-finals

ML Vitebsk0

Din. Minsk3

Slavia Mozyr0

BATE3

Final

Din. Minsk1

BATE2