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Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Zhodino Prediction & H2H Stats

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Haradski Stadium, Barysaw
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Logo

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

2 - 4
FT
Zhodino Logo

Zhodino

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Volskiy D. In: Sotnikov N.
Out: Volskiy D.
15'
Sazonchik S.
15'
Lomovitskiy A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and Zhodino finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zhodino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
30%
Draws
47%
Zhodino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zhodino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zhodino come out ahead of Arsenal Dzerzhinsk on wins alone.
  • Zhodino are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 10%
Zhodino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Zhodino
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Zhodino
2:4
Apr 26, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
3:3
Aug 23, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Zhodino
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Zhodino vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Matveev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antilevskiy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Zhodino Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhulpa D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bykov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 18 / 100
Zhodino 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Zhodino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zhodino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zhodino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Zhodino lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk VS Zhodino
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Home)
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
07 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4
Zhodino
22 Aug
Belshina
2 : 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 6

Zhodino

(Away)
20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0
Zhodino
12 Sept
Neman
1 : 0
Zhodino
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2
FC Gomel
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4
Zhodino
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)