Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera B Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona

Arsenal Sarandi

3 - 0

Argentino de Merlo

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Vila J.

35'

Lopez F.

41'

Kestler I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Sarandi in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal Sarandi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Arsenal Sarandi

20%

Draws

38%

Argentino de Merlo

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arsenal Sarandi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Argentino de Merlo haven't matched Arsenal Sarandi's recent run of results.
Arsenal Sarandi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Arsenal Sarandi Clean Sheet 15%

Argentino de Merlo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arsenal Sarandi	Argentino de Merlo
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	15	9
Draws	8	9
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.5	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Primera B

Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Sarandi Compare

Top Goalscorer Vila J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader La Roza U.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Argentino de Merlo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Sarandi 41 / 100

Argentino de Merlo 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arsenal Sarandi Argentino de Merlo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Sarandi scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Argentino de Merlo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Arsenal Sarandi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Sarandi VS Argentino de Merlo

1.5 Goals Scored 1.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal Sarandi	26	14	8	4	37:19	50
2	Excursionistas	26	14	7	5	37:17	49
3	Talleres Remedios Escalada	26	14	7	5	29:13	49
4	Villa Dalmine	26	13	9	4	30:14	48
5	Deportivo Camioneros	26	13	8	5	31:17	47
6	Sportivo Italiano	26	12	8	6	27:21	44
7	Comunicaciones	26	10	8	8	30:26	38
8	Laferrere	26	10	8	8	29:30	38
9	Real Pilar	26	10	7	9	29:29	37
10	Deportivo Armenio	26	10	7	9	30:31	37
11	Dep. Merlo	26	9	9	8	31:38	36
12	San Martin Burzaco	26	8	11	7	26:23	35
13	Argentino de Merlo	26	9	8	9	26:24	35
14	Dock Sud	26	7	10	9	26:24	31
15	Argentino de Quilmes	26	7	10	9	25:28	31
16	CSD Liniers	26	6	9	11	17:26	27
17	Flandria	26	7	5	14	20:32	26
18	Defensores Unidos	26	5	10	11	20:29	25
19	UAI Urquiza	26	3	15	8	12:22	24
20	Brown Adrogue	26	5	9	12	16:29	24
21	Villa San Carlos	26	4	10	12	24:33	22
22	Ituzaingo	26	1	7	18	18:45	10