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Arsenal Sarandi vs Brown Adrogue - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, Avellaneda
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Sanchez L.
Own Goal
46'
Robles E.
60' Event
Baez B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Arsenal Sarandi
30%
Draws
28%
Brown Adrogue
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arsenal Sarandi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arsenal Sarandi lately — more wins on the board than Brown Adrogue.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Arsenal Sarandi Clean Sheet 68%
Brown Adrogue Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Sarandi Brown Adrogue
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.18 0.64
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Brown Adrogue
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs Arsenal Sarandi
0:4
Nov 25, 2018 Primera Nacional
Arsenal Sarandi vs Brown Adrogue
2:1
Jan 17, 2018 Club Friendly
Arsenal Sarandi vs Brown Adrogue
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Sarandi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Brown Adrogue Compare

Top Goalscorer Baez B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Sarandi 41 / 100
Brown Adrogue 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Sarandi Brown Adrogue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal Sarandi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Sarandi's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Arsenal Sarandi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Brown Adrogue's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Sarandi VS Brown Adrogue
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Sarandi

(Home)
03 Oct
Villa San Carlos
1 : 0
Arsenal Sarandi
26 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
CSD Liniers
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
UAI Urquiza
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
Page 1 of 6

Brown Adrogue

(Away)
05 Oct
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
26 Sept
Brown Adrogue
3 : 0
Deportivo Camioneros
19 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
06 Sept
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 39 23 8 8 63:30 77
2 Arsenal Sarandi 39 20 12 7 53:26 72
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 39 19 11 9 41:24 68
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 39 17 14 8 39:24 65
6 Deportivo Camioneros 39 17 13 9 44:30 64
7 Deportivo Armenio 39 17 10 12 42:38 61
8 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
9 Comunicaciones 39 14 14 11 39:34 56
10 Laferrere 39 13 13 13 47:51 52
11 San Martin Burzaco 39 12 14 13 40:44 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 39 11 14 14 37:43 47
14 Dep. Merlo 39 10 15 14 37:52 45
15 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 39 9 17 13 32:39 44
17 CSD Liniers 39 10 14 15 32:40 44
18 Flandria 39 11 9 19 35:48 42
19 Defensores Unidos 39 9 14 16 33:40 41
20 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 39 1 13 25 27:64 16
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)