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Arsenal Sarandi vs Brown Adrogue

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, Avellaneda
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Sanchez L.
Own Goal
46'
Robles E.
60' Event
Baez B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Arsenal Sarandi
35%
Draws
25%
Brown Adrogue
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arsenal Sarandi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arsenal Sarandi lately — more wins on the board than Brown Adrogue.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Arsenal Sarandi taking it.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Arsenal Sarandi Clean Sheet 68%
Brown Adrogue Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Sarandi Brown Adrogue
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Brown Adrogue
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs Arsenal Sarandi
0:4
Nov 25, 2018 Primera Nacional
Arsenal Sarandi vs Brown Adrogue
2:1
Jan 17, 2018 Club Friendly
Arsenal Sarandi vs Brown Adrogue
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Sarandi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Brown Adrogue Compare

Top Goalscorer Baez B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Sarandi 59 / 100
Brown Adrogue 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Sarandi Brown Adrogue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Sarandi's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Brown Adrogue has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Arsenal Sarandi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Sarandi VS Brown Adrogue
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Sarandi

(Home)
31 Jul
Arsenal Sarandi
1 : 1
Brown Adrogue
25 Jul
Deportivo Armenio
0 : 0
Arsenal Sarandi
18 Jul
Arsenal Sarandi
1 : 0
Flandria
14 Jul
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0
Arsenal Sarandi
10 Jul
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 1
Defensores Unidos
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Brown Adrogue

(Away)
31 Jul
Arsenal Sarandi
1 : 1
Brown Adrogue
25 Jul
Brown Adrogue
1 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
18 Jul
Talleres Remedios Escalada
1 : 0
Brown Adrogue
14 Jul
Brown Adrogue
0 : 1
Laferrere
10 Jul
Brown Adrogue
0 : 0
Ituzaingo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 28 15 8 5 40:19 53
2 Talleres Remedios Escalada 28 15 8 5 31:13 53
3 Arsenal Sarandi 28 14 10 4 38:20 52
4 Villa Dalmine 28 14 10 4 32:15 52
5 Deportivo Camioneros 28 14 9 5 34:18 51
6 Sportivo Italiano 28 12 10 6 28:22 46
7 Real Pilar 28 12 7 9 33:31 43
8 Laferrere 28 11 8 9 32:33 41
9 Comunicaciones 28 10 9 9 31:28 39
10 Deportivo Armenio 28 10 8 10 31:33 38
11 Dep. Merlo 28 9 10 9 33:41 37
12 San Martin Burzaco 28 8 12 8 27:26 36
13 Argentino de Merlo 28 9 8 11 27:28 35
14 Dock Sud 28 7 12 9 28:26 33
15 Argentino de Quilmes 28 7 12 9 25:28 33
16 CSD Liniers 28 6 11 11 18:27 29
17 Brown Adrogue 28 6 10 12 18:30 28
18 Flandria 28 7 6 15 22:35 27
19 Villa San Carlos 28 5 11 12 27:35 26
20 Defensores Unidos 28 5 11 12 22:32 26
21 UAI Urquiza 28 3 17 8 13:23 26
22 Ituzaingo 28 1 9 18 18:45 12
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)