Sport Picks
Arsenal Sarandi vs Dep. Merlo
Argentina
Primera B Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona, Avellaneda 
Match Events
17'
17'
Sosa M.
32'
32'
Cabrera I.
39'
39'
Lucero M.
AI Match Summary
Arsenal Sarandi in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal Sarandi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Arsenal Sarandi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Arsenal Sarandi lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Merlo.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Arsenal Sarandi taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Arsenal Sarandi Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsenal Sarandi | Dep. Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Dep. Merlo
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arsenal Sarandi Compare
Top Goalscorer Sosa M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cabrera I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Dep. Merlo Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sandoval I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arsenal Sarandi 50 / 100
Dep. Merlo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arsenal Sarandi Dep. Merlo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ARS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Arsenal Sarandi's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Dep. Merlo conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Arsenal Sarandi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arsenal Sarandi VS Dep. Merlo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Arsenal Sarandi
(Home) 18 Jul
Arsenal Sarandi
1 : 0 Flandria
14 Jul
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0 Arsenal Sarandi
10 Jul
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 1 Defensores Unidos
04 Jul
Comunicaciones
1 : 2 Arsenal Sarandi
28 Jun
Arsenal Sarandi
0 : 0 Dock Sud
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Arsenal Sarandi
1 : 0 Flandria
10 Jul
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 1 Defensores Unidos
28 Jun
Arsenal Sarandi
0 : 0 Dock Sud
21 Jun
Arsenal Sarandi
4 : 2 Dep. Merlo
06 Jun
Arsenal Sarandi
1 : 3 Sportivo Italiano
Page 1 of 3
Dep. Merlo
(Away) 18 Jul
CSD Liniers
1 : 1 Dep. Merlo
14 Jul
Dep. Merlo
3 : 2 Real Pilar
10 Jul
UAI Urquiza
0 : 0 Dep. Merlo
04 Jul
Dep. Merlo
1 : 2 Villa Dalmine
27 Jun
Excursionistas
5 : 0 Dep. Merlo
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
CSD Liniers
1 : 1 Dep. Merlo
10 Jul
UAI Urquiza
0 : 0 Dep. Merlo
27 Jun
Excursionistas
5 : 0 Dep. Merlo
21 Jun
Arsenal Sarandi
4 : 2 Dep. Merlo
05 Jun
Talleres Remedios Escalada
2 : 0 Dep. Merlo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal Sarandi | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 37:19 | 50 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 29:13 | 49 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 30:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Deportivo Camioneros | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 31:17 | 47 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 27:21 | 44 |
| 7 | Comunicaciones | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 30:26 | 38 |
| 8 | Laferrere | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | 38 |
| 9 | Real Pilar | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 37 |
| 10 | Deportivo Armenio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 30:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Dep. Merlo | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:38 | 36 |
| 12 | San Martin Burzaco | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 26:23 | 35 |
| 13 | Argentino de Merlo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26:24 | 35 |
| 14 | Dock Sud | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 26:24 | 31 |
| 15 | Argentino de Quilmes | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 25:28 | 31 |
| 16 | CSD Liniers | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 17:26 | 27 |
| 17 | Flandria | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 20:32 | 26 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 20:29 | 25 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 26 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 12:22 | 24 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 16:29 | 24 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 24:33 | 22 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 18:45 | 10 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)