Sport Picks

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Arsenal Sarandi vs Real Pilar

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Sarandi play Real Pilar in the Primera B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arsenal Sarandi averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Real Pilar averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Arsenal Sarandi won 1, Real Pilar won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Arsenal Sarandi and 1.06 for Real Pilar. This points to a Arsenal Sarandi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Arsenal Sarandi
32%
Draws
26%
Real Pilar
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Arsenal Sarandi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Arsenal Sarandi picked up more points recently compared to Real Pilar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Arsenal Sarandi Clean Sheet 22%
Real Pilar Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Sarandi Real Pilar
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Real Pilar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Sarandi Compare

Top Goalscorer Franco L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peralta I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Real Pilar Compare

Top Goalscorer Riquelme M. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Sarandi 42 / 100
Real Pilar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Sarandi Real Pilar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Arsenal Sarandi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arsenal Sarandi attacking → ← attacking Real Pilar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Sarandi scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Real Pilar let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Arsenal Sarandi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Real Pilar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 43
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Excursionistas23136434:1545
2Talleres Remedios Escalada23136426:1045
3Arsenal Sarandi23128333:1744
4Villa Dalmine23127428:1343
5Deportivo Camioneros23118427:1541
6Sportivo Italiano2398623:2035
7Real Pilar2397725:2434
8Deportivo Armenio2395925:2732
9San Martin Burzaco23710623:2031
10Comunicaciones2387826:2531
11Argentino de Merlo2387821:2131
12Laferrere2387825:2931
13Dep. Merlo2387827:3531
14Dock Sud2369824:2227
15Argentino de Quilmes2369824:2527
16CSD Liniers2368916:2326
17Defensores Unidos2359919:2424
18Brown Adrogue23581016:2723
19UAI Urquiza23313712:2022
20Flandria23641318:3022
21Villa San Carlos23491024:3021
22Ituzaingo23161617:419