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Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG

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AI Match Summary

Arsenal Tivat play Mladost DG in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arsenal Tivat averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Mladost DG averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Arsenal Tivat won 2, Mladost DG won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 1, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Arsenal Tivat and 1.06 for Mladost DG. This points to a Arsenal Tivat double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arsenal Tivat
6%
Draws
90%
Mladost DG
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mladost DG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Both Arsenal Tivat and Mladost DG exhibit evenly balanced form metrics in recent matches.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Mladost DG.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 20%
Mladost DG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tivat Mladost DG
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
1:0
May 24, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
1:4
Apr 4, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tivat Compare

Top Goalscorer Soskic P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mladost DG Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tivat 10 / 100
Mladost DG 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tivat Mladost DG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tivat scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Mladost DG let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Arsenal Tivat went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Mladost DG lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tivat VS Mladost DG
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%