Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Soskic P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Arsenal Tivat and Mladost DG finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal Tivat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Arsenal Tivat
15%
Draws
57%
Mladost DG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mladost DG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Arsenal Tivat have managed 0.87 goals a game lately — Mladost DG are scoring more at 1.14.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal Tivat's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 20%
Mladost DG Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tivat Mladost DG
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.87 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
0:1
Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
1:0
May 24, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
1:4
Apr 4, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tivat Compare

Top Goalscorer Soskic P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mladost DG Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tivat 42 / 100
Mladost DG 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tivat Mladost DG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tivat found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Mladost DG has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mladost DG lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tivat VS Mladost DG
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tivat

(Home)
19 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 2
Sutjeska
14 Sept
Petrovac
1 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
10 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 1
Mladost DG
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
30 Aug
Arsenal Tivat
1 : 2
Otrant
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Mladost DG

(Away)
20 Sept
Bokelj
3 : 0
Mladost DG
14 Sept
Mladost DG
0 : 2
Buducnost
10 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 1
Mladost DG
05 Sept
Mladost DG
2 : 0
Decic
28 Aug
Sutjeska
5 : 1
Mladost DG
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