Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 Stadion u Parku
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Vukovic D.
10'
Sahman I.
30'
Vukcevic I.

AI Match Summary

Mladost DG in this Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mladost DG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arsenal Tivat
6%
Draws
90%
Mladost DG
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mladost DG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mladost DG haven't matched Arsenal Tivat's recent run of results.
  • Mladost DG are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 18%
Mladost DG Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tivat Mladost DG
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
1:0
May 24, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
1:4
Apr 4, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tivat Compare

Top Goalscorer Sim D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mladost DG Compare

Top Goalscorer Vukovic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavlicevic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tivat 10 / 100
Mladost DG 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tivat Mladost DG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mladost DG let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Arsenal Tivat found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Arsenal Tivat has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tivat VS Mladost DG
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sutjeska36226861:3672
2Mornar Bar36209751:2969
3Petrovac3613121144:3651
4Decic361491343:4551
5Buducnost361391436:3548
6Mladost DG361441849:5446
7Arsenal Tivat3612101436:4646
8Jezero3610111538:4841
9Bokelj368121638:4836
10Jedinstvo36981930:4935