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Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion u Parku, Tivat
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Simun M.
38' Event
Cetkovic D.
45'
Malisic P.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Crnogorska Liga game between Arsenal Tivat and Sutjeska finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sutjeska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Arsenal Tivat
15%
Draws
69%
Sutjeska
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutjeska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sutjeska come out ahead of Arsenal Tivat on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sutjeska a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 19%
Sutjeska Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tivat Sutjeska
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.89 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska
0:2
May 9, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska
1:1
Mar 11, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat
4:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tivat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sutjeska Compare

Top Goalscorer Simun M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cetkovic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tivat 10 / 100
Sutjeska 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tivat Sutjeska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutjeska Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tivat's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sutjeska conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Arsenal Tivat stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tivat VS Sutjeska
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tivat

(Home)
19 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 2
Sutjeska
14 Sept
Petrovac
1 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
10 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 1
Mladost DG
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
30 Aug
Arsenal Tivat
1 : 2
Otrant
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Sutjeska

(Away)
19 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 2
Sutjeska
13 Sept
Sutjeska
2 : 0
Decic
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
04 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 0
Sutjeska
28 Aug
Sutjeska
5 : 1
Mladost DG
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
2 Decic 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
3 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
4 Buducnost 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
5 Sutjeska 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
6 Mornar Bar 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
7 Mladost DG 10 3 2 5 10:17 11
8 Jezero 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)