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Arsenal Tula 2 vs FK Kompozit

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Tula 2 play FK Kompozit in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arsenal Tula 2 averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. FK Kompozit averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Arsenal Tula 2 won 2, FK Kompozit won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 6, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Arsenal Tula 2 and 1.19 for FK Kompozit. This points to a FK Kompozit double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Arsenal Tula 2
27%
Draws
39%
FK Kompozit
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: FK Kompozit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Arsenal Tula 2 picked up more points recently compared to FK Kompozit.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 20%
FK Kompozit Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula 2 FK Kompozit
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs FK Kompozit
1:0
Jun 20, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Kompozit vs Arsenal Tula 2
0:1
Aug 27, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Kompozit vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Weber D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

FK Kompozit Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 2 35 / 100
FK Kompozit 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula 2 FK Kompozit

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Kompozit or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arsenal Tula 2 attacking → ← attacking FK Kompozit

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula 2 scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

FK Kompozit let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Arsenal Tula 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FK Kompozit lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 49
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dynamo Vladivostok28203542:1763
2Kosmos28166645:2354
3FK Kompozit28166659:4054
4Salyut-Belgorod28139649:3448
5Spartak Tambov28128837:2844
6Khimki 2281351037:3444
7Sakhalin281261029:2442
8Penza281071134:3537
9Ryazan28981133:3135
10FC Oryol281051334:3235
11Strogino Moscow28941524:3831
12Arsenal Tula 228941531:4031
13SKA Khabarovsk 228761538:5027
14FK Kolomna28561722:5621
15Kvant Obninsk28471719:5119