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Arsenal Tula 2 vs Ryazan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Evgenjev E.
14' Event
Kotov A.
40' Event
Pogrebnev N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Arsenal Tula 2 and Ryazan finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ryazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Arsenal Tula 2
30%
Draws
61%
Ryazan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ryazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Ryazan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ryazan a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula 2 Ryazan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 18
Draws 10 8
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.1 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Ryazan
0:5
Apr 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Arsenal Tula 2
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Ryazan
0:3
Aug 11, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Ryazan
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Evgenjev E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kotov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 2 10 / 100
Ryazan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula 2 Ryazan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ryazan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Arsenal Tula 2 found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Ryazan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Arsenal Tula 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula 2 VS Ryazan
0.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tula 2

(Home)
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0
M. Lipetsk
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
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Ryazan

(Away)
04 Oct
Ryazan
4 : 0
Kursk
30 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
Penza
26 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0 : 2
Ryazan
17 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
11 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
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