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Arsenal Tula 2 vs Ryazan

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Evgenjev E.
14' Event
Kotov A.
40' Event
Pogrebnev N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Arsenal Tula 2 and Ryazan finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ryazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Arsenal Tula 2
6%
Draws
90%
Ryazan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ryazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ryazan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ryazan a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula 2 Ryazan
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 14
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Ryazan
0:5
Apr 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Arsenal Tula 2
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Ryazan
0:3
Aug 11, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Ryazan
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Evgenjev E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kotov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 2 10 / 100
Ryazan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula 2 Ryazan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arsenal Tula 2 scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ryazan conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Arsenal Tula 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula 2 VS Ryazan
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tula 2

(Home)
26 Jul
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 5
Ryazan
04 Jul
Kvant Obninsk
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
28 Jun
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 4
Salyut-Belgorod
20 Jun
FC Oryol
4 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
14 Jun
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 1
Rodina Moscow 3
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Ryazan

(Away)
26 Jul
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 5
Ryazan
04 Jul
Ryazan
3 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk 2
27 Jun
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 0
Ryazan
20 Jun
Ryazan
1 : 2
Spartak Tambov
13 Jun
Kursk
0 : 0
Ryazan
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