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Arsenal Tula 2 vs Salyut-Belgorod

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Tula 2 play Salyut-Belgorod in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. Salyut-Belgorod are favorites here. Recently, Arsenal Tula 2 averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Salyut-Belgorod averaged 1.85 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. In past meetings, Arsenal Tula 2 won 1, Salyut-Belgorod won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Arsenal Tula 2 and 1.00 for Salyut-Belgorod. This points to a Salyut-Belgorod double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Arsenal Tula 2
25%
Draws
60%
Salyut-Belgorod
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Salyut-Belgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Arsenal Tula 2 picked up more points recently compared to Salyut-Belgorod.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 23%
Salyut-Belgorod Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula 2 Salyut-Belgorod
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 19
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Salyut-Belgorod
0:4
Aug 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Salyut-Belgorod
2:3
Apr 13, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:0
May 5, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Salyut-Belgorod
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Salyut-Belgorod Compare

Top Goalscorer Faskhutdinov V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ivanteev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 2 18 / 100
Salyut-Belgorod 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula 2 Salyut-Belgorod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salyut-Belgorod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Salyut-Belgorod & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arsenal Tula 2 attacking → ← attacking Salyut-Belgorod

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula 2 scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Salyut-Belgorod let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Arsenal Tula 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Salyut-Belgorod lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 61
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13