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Arsenal Tula 2 vs Strogino Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Gogidze G.
75' Event
Bastrykin A.
80' Event
Toporov E.

AI Match Summary

Strogino Moscow in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Strogino Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Arsenal Tula 2
20%
Draws
60%
Strogino Moscow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Strogino Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Arsenal Tula 2 haven't matched Strogino Moscow's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Strogino Moscow Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula 2 Strogino Moscow
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Strogino Moscow
1:2
May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Strogino Moscow vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Strogino Moscow
1:0
May 17, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Strogino Moscow vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Strogino Moscow vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bastrykin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Strogino Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Gogidze G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toporov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 2 32 / 100
Strogino Moscow 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula 2 Strogino Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Strogino Moscow conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Strogino Moscow registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Arsenal Tula 2 scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula 2 VS Strogino Moscow
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tula 2

(Home)
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0
M. Lipetsk
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
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Strogino Moscow

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Oryol
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
26 Sept
Strogino Moscow
2 : 5
Rodina Moscow 3
19 Sept
M. Lipetsk
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
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