Sport Picks
Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Stadion Arsenal, Tula 
AI Match Summary
Arsenal Tula host Chelyabinsk in the FNL. This one's hard to separate. Chelyabinsk have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Arsenal Tula have conceded 1.71 and scored 1.04. Head-to-head, Arsenal Tula have won 0 to Chelyabinsk's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.69, favoring Arsenal Tula. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Chelyabinsk lately — more wins on the board than Arsenal Tula.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsenal Tula | Chelyabinsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chelyabinsk conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Arsenal Tula found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Arsenal Tula has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arsenal Tula
(Home)Chelyabinsk
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 43:15 | 37 |
| 2 | PFC Sochi | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 29 |
| 3 | Torpedo Moscow | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Veles Moscow | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | 27 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 6 | Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:10 | 25 |
| 7 | Ufa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 18:14 | 21 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 9 | R. Volgograd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22:17 | 18 |
| 10 | Ulyanovsk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15:26 | 16 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:23 | 15 |
| 13 | Yenisey | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Kamaz | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:25 | 13 |
| 16 | Neftekhimik | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 10:21 | 12 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15:28 | 7 |
