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Arsenal Tula vs Tekstilshtik

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Arsenal, Tula
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Rosputko O. In: Ivanov I.
Out: Rosputko O.
14'
Zhigulev I.
17'
Pershin N.

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Tula in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal Tula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Arsenal Tula
30%
Draws
47%
Tekstilshtik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tekstilshtik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Tekstilshtik have won more games recently than Arsenal Tula.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 20%
Tekstilshtik Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula Tekstilshtik
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 11 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Russian Cup
Tekstilshtik vs Arsenal Tula
1:0
Jul 13, 2026 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Tekstilshtik
2:1
Oct 21, 2020 Russian Cup
Tekstilshtik vs Arsenal Tula
0:1
Oct 28, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2
Tekstilshtik vs Arsenal Tula
2:0
Jul 20, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2
Arsenal Tula vs Tekstilshtik
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Tula Compare

Top Goalscorer Magomedov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gotsuk K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tekstilshtik Compare

Top Goalscorer Filev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 31 / 100
Tekstilshtik 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula Tekstilshtik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal Tula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Tekstilshtik has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Tekstilshtik's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal Tula VS Tekstilshtik
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal Tula

(Home)
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0
Arsenal Tula
29 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
Ural
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Tekstilshtik

(Away)
17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2
R. Volgograd
13 Sept
Leningradets
2 : 2
Tekstilshtik
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula
04 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 4
Torpedo Moscow
29 Aug
Tekstilshtik
0 : 1
Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 S. Kostroma 11 7 3 1 15:8 24
3 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Veles Moscow 12 7 2 3 16:14 23
5 Ural 11 6 4 1 18:5 22
6 Torpedo Moscow 11 6 2 3 21:9 20
7 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
8 Ufa 11 4 5 2 16:13 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 11 3 6 2 15:13 15
10 Yenisey 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
11 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
12 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
13 Chelyabinsk 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
14 Ulyanovsk 11 3 2 6 14:17 11
15 Leningradets 11 2 4 5 9:20 10
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
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