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Arsenal Tula vs Tekstilshtik

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Arsenal
Mon, Jul 13, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Tula play Tekstilshtik in the FNL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arsenal Tula averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Tekstilshtik averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Arsenal Tula won 1, Tekstilshtik won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 21, 2020 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Arsenal Tula and 1.44 for Tekstilshtik. This points to a Tekstilshtik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Arsenal Tula
31%
Draws
45%
Tekstilshtik
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Tekstilshtik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Arsenal Tula picked up more points recently compared to Tekstilshtik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 16%
Tekstilshtik Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Tula Tekstilshtik
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.35 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.69 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2020 Russian Cup
Tekstilshtik vs Arsenal Tula
0:1
Oct 28, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2
Tekstilshtik vs Arsenal Tula
2:0
Jul 20, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2
Arsenal Tula vs Tekstilshtik
0:1
Sep 11, 2005 FNL 2 - Group 2
Arsenal Tula vs Tekstilshtik
0:0
Jun 12, 2005 FNL 2 - Group 2
Tekstilshtik vs Arsenal Tula
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal Tula 25 / 100
Tekstilshtik 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Tula Tekstilshtik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tekstilshtik or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arsenal Tula attacking → ← attacking Tekstilshtik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Tekstilshtik let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Arsenal Tula went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tekstilshtik lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 53
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88