Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Lane D.
Assist: Parsons J.
45'
45'
Palmer B.
Assist: Lane D.
48'
48'
Newnham-Reeve B.
Assist: Lane D.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League U18 2025/2026 game between Arsenal U18 and Brighton U18 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brighton U18.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsenal U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Brighton U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Arsenal U18's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Premier League U18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Arsenal U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Brighton U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsenal U18 | Brighton U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 2.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Premier League U18
Brighton U18 vs Arsenal U18
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 Premier League U18
Arsenal U18 vs Brighton U18
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League U18
Brighton U18 vs Arsenal U18
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League U18
Arsenal U18 vs Brighton U18
2:3
Sep 28, 2024 Premier League U18
Brighton U18 vs Arsenal U18
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arsenal U18 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Brighton U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Lane D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Palmer B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arsenal U18 74 / 100
Brighton U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arsenal U18 Brighton U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arsenal U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arsenal U18 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Brighton U18 conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Arsenal U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arsenal U18 VS Brighton U18
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Arsenal U18
(Home) 19 Sept
Norwich U18
1 : 5 Arsenal U18
12 Sept
Arsenal U18
2 : 0 Crystal Palace U18
05 Sept
Arsenal U18
1 : 0 Southampton U18
29 Aug
Brighton U18
2 : 1 Arsenal U18
22 Aug
Arsenal U18
1 : 3 Ipswich U18
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Arsenal U18
2 : 0 Crystal Palace U18
05 Sept
Arsenal U18
1 : 0 Southampton U18
22 Aug
Arsenal U18
1 : 3 Ipswich U18
09 May
Arsenal U18
1 : 2 Reading U18
28 Apr
Arsenal U18
2 : 3 Crystal Palace U18
Page 1 of 3
Brighton U18
(Away) 19 Sept
Aston Villa U18
2 : 4 Brighton U18
12 Sept
Brighton U18
1 : 5 Chelsea U18
05 Sept
Reading U18
1 : 1 Brighton U18
29 Aug
Brighton U18
2 : 1 Arsenal U18
22 Aug
Bournemouth U18
7 : 4 Brighton U18
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Aston Villa U18
2 : 4 Brighton U18
05 Sept
Reading U18
1 : 1 Brighton U18
22 Aug
Bournemouth U18
7 : 4 Brighton U18
15 Aug
Birmingham U18
1 : 3 Brighton U18
02 May
West Ham U18
3 : 2 Brighton U18
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 96:39 | 60 |
| 2 | Manchester United U18 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 65:24 | 56 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 55:44 | 49 |
| 4 | Everton U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 54:45 | 42 |
| 5 | Nottingham U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 50:47 | 42 |
| 6 | Sunderland U18 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 56:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:45 | 39 |
| 8 | Liverpool U18 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 70:70 | 35 |
| 9 | Blackburn U18 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 10 | Derby U18 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 44:67 | 32 |
| 11 | Burnley U18 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 49:68 | 30 |
| 12 | Leeds U18 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 47:68 | 29 |
| 13 | Wolves U18 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 29:55 | 20 |
| 14 | Stoke City U18 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 42:69 | 17 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U18 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 88:24 | 67 |
| 2 | Tottenham U18 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 70:36 | 54 |
| 3 | Aston Villa U18 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 82:55 | 54 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 63:41 | 49 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 74:52 | 46 |
| 6 | West Brom U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 68:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Southampton U18 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 65:61 | 42 |
| 8 | West Ham U18 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 62:59 | 41 |
| 9 | Leicester U18 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 46:53 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 46:57 | 33 |
| 11 | Fulham U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 48:65 | 33 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 47:67 | 26 |
| 13 | Reading U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 38:66 | 26 |
| 14 | Birmingham U18 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 29:88 | 21 |
| 15 | Ipswich U18 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 41:93 | 20 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
