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Arsenal U19 vs Atl. Madrid U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 Meadow Park, Borehamwood
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Dudziak H.
Assist: Bailey-Joseph B.
5'
Dudziak H.
8'
Munoz D.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 game between Arsenal U19 and Atl. Madrid U19 finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Arsenal U19
15%
Draws
46%
Atl. Madrid U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Madrid U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Arsenal U19 haven't matched Atl. Madrid U19's recent run of results.
  • Atl. Madrid U19 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Arsenal U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Madrid U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal U19 Atl. Madrid U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.2 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Arsenal U19 vs Atl. Madrid U19
3:4
Jan 27, 2015 UEFA Youth League
Atl. Madrid U19 vs Arsenal U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudziak H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Atl. Madrid U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinatea S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal U19 22 / 100
Atl. Madrid U19 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal U19 Atl. Madrid U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Madrid U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Arsenal U19 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Atl. Madrid U19 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Arsenal U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal U19 VS Atl. Madrid U19
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal U19

(Home)
09 Sept
Napoli U19
1 : 2
Arsenal U19
10 Dec
Club Brugge U19
2 : 1
Arsenal U19
26 Nov
Arsenal U19
4 : 2
Bayern U19
04 Nov
Slavia Prague U19
5 : 1
Arsenal U19
21 Oct
Arsenal U19
3 : 4
Atl. Madrid U19
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Atl. Madrid U19

(Away)
09 Sept
Liverpool U19
2 : 2
Atl. Madrid U19
17 Mar
Atl. Madrid U19
0 : 4
Club Brugge U19
25 Feb
Atl. Madrid U19
2 : 1
Maccabi Haifa U19
04 Feb
Dynamo Kyiv U19
2 : 6
Atl. Madrid U19
09 Dec
PSV U19
3 : 1
Atl. Madrid U19
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U19 6 5 1 0 23:9 16
2 Benfica U19 6 5 0 1 26:7 15
3 Club Brugge U19 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
4 Real Madrid U19 6 5 0 1 14:7 15
5 Villarreal U19 6 5 0 1 12:7 15
6 Ath Bilbao U19 6 4 2 0 17:7 14
7 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 16:8 13
8 Barcelona U19 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
9 Tottenham U19 6 4 0 2 28:14 12
10 Manchester City U19 6 4 0 2 18:8 12
11 Dortmund U19 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Sporting CP U19 6 3 3 0 13:10 12
13 PSG U19 6 3 2 1 17:8 11
14 Inter U19 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
15 Ajax U19 6 3 1 2 24:16 10
16 Liverpool U19 6 3 1 2 8:13 10
17 Leverkusen U19 6 3 1 2 9:16 10
18 Monaco U19 6 3 0 3 20:10 9
19 PSV U19 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
20 Slavia Prague U19 6 2 2 2 16:17 8
21 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 2 1 3 15:13 7
22 Marseille U19 6 2 1 3 12:11 7
23 FC Copenhagen U19 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
24 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
25 Napoli U19 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
26 Juventus U19 6 1 2 3 12:11 5
27 Bayern U19 6 1 1 4 10:16 4
28 Kairat Almaty U19 6 1 1 4 8:15 4
29 Atalanta U19 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
30 Pafos U19 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
31 Royale Union SG U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
32 Galatasaray U19 6 1 1 4 6:21 4
33 Arsenal U19 6 1 0 5 11:18 3
34 Newcastle Utd U19 6 0 0 6 6:17 0
35 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 0 0 6 4:31 0
36 Qarabag Agdam U19 6 0 0 6 1:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)