Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsenal U23 vs Chelsea U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Meadow Park, Borehamwood
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Brooking J.
15' Event
Wareham J.
Assist: Simons X.
19' Event
Awe Z.
Assist: Swanson Z.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Arsenal U23 and Chelsea U23 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Arsenal U23
30%
Draws
35%
Chelsea U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Chelsea U23 haven't matched Arsenal U23's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal U23's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Arsenal U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Chelsea U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal U23 Chelsea U23
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 13 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.06 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2022 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Chelsea U23
3:1
Sep 19, 2021 Premier League 2
Chelsea U23 vs Arsenal U23
1:6
Feb 5, 2021 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Chelsea U23
2:2
Oct 4, 2020 Premier League 2
Chelsea U23 vs Arsenal U23
3:0
Feb 17, 2020 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Chelsea U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Awe Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oulad M'Hand S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Chelsea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wareham J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal U23 39 / 100
Chelsea U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal U23 Chelsea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal U23's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chelsea U23 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Arsenal U23 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal U23 VS Chelsea U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal U23

(Home)
01 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 1
Arsenal U23
15 Jul
Hendon
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
05 Jul
Woking
3 : 2
Arsenal U23
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
Page 1 of 7

Chelsea U23

(Away)
08 May
Chelsea U23
2 : 1
Tottenham U23
01 May
Blackburn U23
4 : 3
Chelsea U23
25 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 2
Chelsea U23
15 Apr
Everton U23
2 : 0
Chelsea U23
08 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 0
Chelsea U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)