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Arsenal vs Como

World World

Club Friendly Emirates Stadium, London
Wed, Aug 12, 2026
2 - 1
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Sub
Gabriel Jesus In: Gyokeres V.
Out: Gabriel Jesus
32'
Sub
Eze E. In: Vieira F.
Out: Eze E.
33' Event
Lewis-Skelly M.
Assist: Martinelli G.

AI Match Summary

Arsenal in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Arsenal
15%
Draws
39%
Como
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsenal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arsenal lately — more wins on the board than Como.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Arsenal Clean Sheet 16%
Como Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Como
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.62 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal vs Como
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal Compare

Top Goalscorer Lewis-Skelly M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Como Compare

Top Goalscorer Baturina M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal 36 / 100
Como 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Como

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arsenal scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Arsenal remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Como conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal VS Como
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal

(Home)
15 Sept
Ipswich
2 : 4
Arsenal
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2
Arsenal
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
06 Sept
Arsenal
2 : 1
Chelsea
31 Aug
Aston Villa
0 : 1
Arsenal
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Como

(Away)
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
22 Aug
Udinese
1 : 1
Como
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