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Arsenal W vs Aston Villa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL Emirates Stadium, London
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsenal W host Aston Villa W in the WSL. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Arsenal W at 2.25 goals for, 0.81 against; Aston Villa W at 1.37 for, 2.1 against. Past meetings favor Arsenal W slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.13) point toward Arsenal W. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Arsenal W
35%
Draws
40%
Aston Villa W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aston Villa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aston Villa W haven't matched Arsenal W's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Arsenal W Clean Sheet 20%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal W Aston Villa W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.25 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.81 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Arsenal W
0:3
Jan 18, 2026 Women’s FA Cup
Arsenal W vs Aston Villa W
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 WSL
Arsenal W vs Aston Villa W
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Arsenal W
5:2
Dec 8, 2024 WSL
Arsenal W vs Aston Villa W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal W 32 / 100
Aston Villa W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal W Aston Villa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Aston Villa W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Arsenal W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal W VS Aston Villa W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal W

(Home)
04 Oct
Manchester City W
4 : 2
Arsenal W
30 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 2
Arsenal W
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Arsenal W
22 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 0
Koge W
19 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 1
Manchester United W
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Aston Villa W

(Away)
04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1
Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0
Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1
Aston Villa W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 5 5 0 0 16:6 15
2 Chelsea W 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
3 London City Lionesses W 5 4 0 1 15:5 12
4 Tottenham W 5 3 1 1 16:8 10
5 Everton W 5 3 0 2 4:4 9
6 Liverpool W 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
7 Manchester United W 5 2 1 2 5:9 7
8 Crystal Palace W 5 1 3 1 5:11 6
9 Brighton W 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
10 Arsenal W 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
11 West Ham W 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
12 Aston Villa W 5 0 3 2 4:11 3
13 Birmingham W 5 0 2 3 7:12 2
14 Charlton W 5 0 0 5 2:15 0
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)