Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsimi vs Bashkimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL Gradski stadion Gostivar, Gostivar
Arsimi Logo

Arsimi

1 - 0
FT
Bashkimi Logo

Bashkimi

Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Olaosebikan I.
59'
Sub
Ribaudo S. In: Selmani R.
Out: Ribaudo S.
59'
Sub
Kaba L. In: Doshev G.
Out: Kaba L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arsimi in this 1. MFL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsimi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Arsimi
15%
Draws
0%
Bashkimi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsimi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arsimi lately — more wins on the board than Bashkimi.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Arsimi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 20%
Bashkimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsimi Bashkimi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Bashkimi
1:0
May 10, 2026 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Bashkimi
1:1
Nov 3, 2025 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Bashkimi
4:2
Aug 9, 2025 1. MFL
Bashkimi vs Arsimi
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 2. MFL
Bashkimi vs Arsimi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bashkimi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsimi 85 / 100
Bashkimi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsimi Bashkimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsimi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Bashkimi has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Arsimi's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bashkimi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Arsimi VS Bashkimi
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsimi

(Home)
22 Aug
Shkendija Haracine
0 : 2
Arsimi
14 Aug
Arsimi
1 : 0
Bashkimi
08 Aug
Bregalnica Stip
4 : 0
Arsimi
01 Aug
Arsimi
4 : 1
Teteks
24 Jul
Tikves
5 : 1
Arsimi
Page 1 of 6

Bashkimi

(Away)
21 Aug
Bregalnica Stip
3 : 0
Bashkimi
14 Aug
Arsimi
1 : 0
Bashkimi
08 Aug
Bashkimi
0 : 5
Tikves
26 Jul
Sileks
6 : 0
Bashkimi
24 May
Pelister
1 : 0
Bashkimi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Tikves 4 2 1 1 11:3 7
3 Sileks 4 2 1 1 11:5 7
4 Struga 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
5 Bregalnica Stip 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
6 Vardar 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
7 Arsimi 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
8 Shkendija Haracine 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
9 FK Skopje 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
10 Bashkimi 4 0 0 4 0:15 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)