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Artsul vs Belford Roxo

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gutinho
17' Event
Gutinho
59' Event
Pablo

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2024 game between Artsul and Belford Roxo finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Artsul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Artsul
35%
Draws
25%
Belford Roxo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Artsul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Artsul carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Artsul are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Artsul Clean Sheet 68%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Artsul Belford Roxo
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2024 Carioca B1
Artsul vs Belford Roxo
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Artsul Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pablo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Belford Roxo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Artsul 46 / 100
Belford Roxo 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Artsul Belford Roxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Artsul scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Artsul has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Belford Roxo let in goals in 58% of their last 24 matches.

Scoring Trends

Artsul VS Belford Roxo
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.86 Goals Conceded 2
57% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Artsul

(Home)
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
08 Nov
Artsul
1 : 1
Sao Cristovao
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
Page 1 of 6

Belford Roxo

(Away)
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
06 Sept
Belford Roxo
0 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
30 Aug
Paraty
0 : 4
Belford Roxo
23 Jun
Resende
8 : 1
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artsul 8 5 1 2 10:5 16
2 Paduano EC 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
3 Sao Goncalo 8 3 4 1 10:2 13
4 Perolas Negras 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
5 Friburguense 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
6 Nova Cidade 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
7 Sao Cristovao 8 2 1 5 3:9 7
8 Serrano FC 8 1 3 4 5:9 6
9 Belford Roxo 8 0 6 2 5:10 6
Promotion - Carioca B1 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2024 (Main)