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Artsul vs Nova Cidade - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Artsul host Nova Cidade in the Carioca B1. This one's hard to separate. Artsul have averaged 1.2 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Nova Cidade's 0.9 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Artsul have won 0 to Nova Cidade's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.06) point toward Artsul. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Artsul
35%
Draws
13%
Nova Cidade
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Artsul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Artsul lately — more wins on the board than Nova Cidade.
  • Model gives Artsul a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Artsul Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Artsul Nova Cidade
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.2 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Artsul
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Carioca B1
Artsul vs Nova Cidade
1:1
Nov 18, 2020 Carioca 2
Nova Cidade vs Artsul
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Artsul 40 / 100
Nova Cidade 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Artsul Nova Cidade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Artsul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Artsul's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nova Cidade let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Artsul remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Nova Cidade's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Artsul VS Nova Cidade
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Artsul

(Home)
03 Oct
Artsul
3 : 4
Serrano FC
26 Sept
Macae
0 : 0
Artsul
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
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Nova Cidade

(Away)
03 Oct
Audax RJ
0 : 0
Nova Cidade
26 Sept
Nova Cidade
1 : 2
Goytacaz
19 Sept
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
05 Sept
Duque de Caxias
3 : 0
Nova Cidade
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
2 Goytacaz 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
3 Duque de Caxias 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
4 Goncalense 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
5 Artsul 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
6 Campo Grande 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Serrano FC 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
8 Macae 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Sao Cristovao 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
10 Nova Cidade 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
11 AA Carapebus 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
12 Audax RJ 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)