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Artsul vs Serrano FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Thiago Sales
61' Event
Eduardo
78' Event
Cristiano

AI Match Summary

Serrano FC in this Carioca B1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serrano FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Artsul
35%
Draws
32%
Serrano FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Serrano FC lately — more wins on the board than Artsul.
  • Win probability leans Artsul's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Artsul Clean Sheet 68%
Serrano FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Artsul Serrano FC
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 13
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.16 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Carioca B1
Artsul vs Serrano FC
3:4
Nov 1, 2025 Carioca B1
Artsul vs Serrano FC
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 Carioca B1
Serrano FC vs Artsul
0:1
May 18, 2024 Carioca 2
Serrano FC vs Artsul
0:1
Nov 14, 2020 Carioca 2
Artsul vs Serrano FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Artsul Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristiano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Serrano FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Sales
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eduardo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Artsul 50 / 100
Serrano FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Artsul Serrano FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Artsul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Artsul's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Serrano FC conceded in 69% of 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Artsul remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Artsul VS Serrano FC
1.33 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Artsul

(Home)
03 Oct
Artsul
3 : 4
Serrano FC
26 Sept
Macae
0 : 0
Artsul
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
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Serrano FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Artsul
3 : 4
Serrano FC
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 1
Serrano FC
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)